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Poll/publication Date CON % LAB % LD % ComRes/Independent (phone) 30/01/11 34 43 10 ComRes/IoS-S.Mirror(Online) 13/01/11 36 40 10 ComRes/Independent (phone) 09/01/11 34 42 12 ComRes/IoS-S.Mirror(Online) 17/12/10 37 39 11 ComRes/Independent (Phone) 29/11/10 36 40 12 ComRes/Indy on Sunday (Online) 19/11/10 37 38 13 ComRes/Independent (Phone) 31/10/10 35 37 16 ComRes/Indy on Sunday (Online) 15/10/10 40 34 14 ComRes/Independent (Online) 01/10/10 39 36 15 ComRes/Indy on Sunday (Online) 16/09/10 37 35 15 ComRes/Independent (Phone) 05/09/10 38 34 18 ComRes/Mirror/GMTV (Phone)…

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Telegraph blogs Is UKIP the party it never happens for? I’ve gone on Twitter this afternoon offering a £1000 wager to Telegraph blogger, Ed West, over his assertionsabout UKIP that it is “only a matter of time before they overtake the Lib Dems” in the polls. I’ve defined the bet as UKIP’s share exceeding that of the Lib Dems in any of the next 36 months, in the PAPA All Pollsters’ Average over that period – the calculation being based…

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Poll Date CON % LAB % LD % Angus Reid/Politicalbetting 25/01/11 33 41 12 Angus Reid/ 06/01/11 35 40 12 Angus Reid/ 20/12/10 35 41 9 Angus Reid/ 29/11/10 35 40 13 Angus Reid/ 28/10/10 35 37 15 Angus Reid/Sunday Express 01/10/10 35 38 16 More good polling news for Labour There’s a new Angus Reid poll out as well and this shows the same broad trend that we’ve seen from other pollsters – the Tory share down a touch…

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Poll/Publication Date CON % LAB % LD % Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 24/01/11 33 43 13 Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 12/12/10 38 39 11 Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 14/11/10 36 39 14 Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 17/10/10 39 36 14 Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 12/09/10 37 37 15 Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 25/07/10 40 38 14 Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 20/06/10 39 31 19 Labour move to a ten point lead The Reuters/MORI poll for January is just out and shows a five point decline in the Tory share and a four point increase in Labour’s. The result is a gap…

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What do we think of the Andrew Neil programme? One of the big talking points today, I’m sure, will be last night’s hour long documentary on BBC2 presented by Andrew Neil – “Posh and Posher: Why Public School Boys Run Britain”. As the programme blurb states “David Cameron and Nick Clegg seem made for each other: Eton and Oxford meets Westminster School and Cambridge. But does the return of public school boys to the top of our politics say something…

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Poll/publication Date CON % LAB % LD % ICM/Guardian 23/01/11       Populus/Times 24/10/10       Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 12/12/10 ComRes/Independent 14/01/11 36 40 10 YouGov/Sun 24/01/11 37 42 11 Angus Reid 06/01/11 35 40 12 ***PAPA*** LATEST 36.0 40.7 11.0 ICM and MORI expected today One of the things that’s to be most regretted about current UK political polling has been the dramatic decline in the number of telephone surveys coming out. The political world is so dominated by…

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Jonathan’s Sunday Slot The surprise departure of Alan Johnson this week marked a significant milestone for British politics. A new generation of professional politicians, the ex Special Advisers (SpAds), are now in complete command of politics in this country. Is this a change for the better? Will we benefit from having people who understand Westminster and Whitehall in charge? Or are there risks? Can a clique, with negligible outside experience, run the country? Labour is led by ex-special advisers. In…

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