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Category: General Election

How big a gamble is Osborne’s NI plan?

How big a gamble is Osborne’s NI plan?

Did Darling’s budget provide him with the peg? Making tax announcements so close to the date is a big risk and no doubt Labour will be working hard at finding the holes so they they can start to undermine it straight away. But the line that Labour has identified billions of efficiency saving as revealed in Darling’s budget gives the Tories some cover – at least for the next few hours. The addition of Ken Clarke alongside Osborne and Hammond…

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Could getting tantalising close cause him to pause on the date?

Could getting tantalising close cause him to pause on the date?

Might June 3rd just be back on the agenda? One thing’s for certain as we move towards the long Easter weekend – a final decision has to be taken in the next few days by Gordon, and by Gordon alone, if he is to set the wheels in motion for a May 6th general election. However much a foregone conclusion this might appear he has still got to decide and on this might rest any chance that Labour has of…

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The Sweet FA prediction model

The Sweet FA prediction model

Is it all down to the colours of the current FA cup holders? Ipsos-MORI Thanks to Roger Mortimore of Ipsos-MORI for coming up with this fun approach. He wrote:- “….All you have to do to predict which of the major parties will have an overall majority in the Commons following the election is to note the shirt colours usually worn by the current holders (on election day) of the FA Cup. If their shirts are predominantly in the Conservative colours…

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Are the Tories playing the Gordon card too early?

Are the Tories playing the Gordon card too early?

Would they be doing this now but for the polls? The ads above are the first from Tory party’s new releationship with M&C Saatchi who, now doubt, have done a lot of research on what images of the PM most suit their purpose. It was inevitable that at some stage during the camapign that the Tories would play what they believe is their strongest card – Gordon Brown’s unpopularity. For even during the recent Labour recovery in the polls the…

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And the gap widens with YouGov and YouGov/BPIX

And the gap widens with YouGov and YouGov/BPIX

YG daily poll: Sunday Times Mar 26 Mar 25 CONSERVATIVES 37% 37% LABOUR 32% 33% LIB DEMS 19% 18% LAB to CON swing from 2005 4% 3.5% YG/BPIX: Mail on Sunday Mar 26 Mar 5 CONSERVATIVES 37% 36% LABOUR 30% 34% LIB DEMS 20% 18% LAB to CON swing from 2005 5% 2.5% Two further polls add to the picture After the ICM poll earlier showing an increase in the Tory lead from 6 to 8 points we are getting…

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Thumbs down for the Budget in new Angus Reid poll

Thumbs down for the Budget in new Angus Reid poll

Angus Reid But the pollster diverges with ComRes on who is most trusted There’ve been two polls on reactions to the budget – one earlier from ComRes and the latest, where fieldwork continued into Friday, from Angus Reid. The panel above has two of the findings. Another AR question related to how the public rated Brown and Cameron on these matters. These findings are in sharp contrast to a poll earlier from ComRes. When asked who voters trusted most to…

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Is the land-line tax a Labour own-goal?

Is the land-line tax a Labour own-goal?

Won’t it hurt those least likely to benefit? “90% of the country to be given broadband access, enabling faster internet services, to be funded by a 50p a month tax on those who have phone lines” Share Good idea 39% Bad idea 49% Don’t know 12% PoliticsHome budget poll March 26 There’s an interesting negative response in the Politics Home budget poll to Labour’s plan to fund the expansion of broadband by putting a tax of 50p a month on…

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Announcing the PB Bar Chart competition

Announcing the PB Bar Chart competition

Who’ll be the most “creative” with the use of numbers? With tactical voting looking set to play a crucial and possibly decisive role in the coming battle this could be the general election of the bar chart. These are deployed by campaigners of all colours to persuade supporters of other candidates in specific seats that their choice does not stand a chance and that they offer the ONLY WAY OF BEATING/STOPPING XYX in that constituency. Mostly the appeal will be…

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