But will it be the same in the marginals? Just looking at the detailed data for the latest ComRes poll and we see the dynamic that is causing the Tory totals to fall and is putting into question what seemed to be the forgone conclusion of a Tory majority. For helpfully the firm is the only one of the pollsters where it’s possible to see the switching to the minor parties from what respondents said they did at the general…
And is this a first for Mail and Guardian front pages? For political punters, surely, the saddest aspect of the selection of Baroness Ashton as the first EU High Commissioner is that PB’s Morus (AKA Greg Callus) who posted his exclusive tip here on November 9th, was unable to place a bet himself. He’s currently on a Fulbright scholarship at Columbia University in New York and there’s a very strict ban on US residents betting with foreign bookmakers So Greg…
Should you be getting your money on Tony With decision time getting very close in the EU Presidency race there’s an intriguing blog this morning from the Telegraph’s Ben Brogan. He writes “… this is what I hear. Gordon Brown is still batting ..even though he could have pulled the plug, and is doing another round with the other EU leaders even now. His point to them is quite robust: after weeks of messing about with rumpy pumpy Belgians and…
Is this a polite way of saying “I’m not voting”? Another poll this morning, the ComRes one for the Indy on Sunday, has a huge 19 percent share for “others” including 6 percent for the Greens. This is out of line with other firms but follows a 5 percent share in the ComRes poll at the end of October and, as we might recall, what proved to be a wildly optimistic 15 percent in the firm’s final survey ahead of…
The Sun What does this say about Brown’s survival chances? The big overnight political betting story is the news that David Miliband won’t be going for the EU High Representative job – and all the speculation that this opens up not only about that appointment but the whole Labour leadership. Congratulations to Peter the Punter, Morus and others for picking up developments ahead of MSM and to Morus (Greg Callus), in particular, for his tip at 9.20pm on who might…
BBC news What a terrible day for UKIP for this to come out? On the day after the Tory change of heart on the Lisbon referendum the anti-EU party that did so well last June, UKIP, must have been hoping for better headlines than this. This was the opportunity, surely, for them to be presenting themselves as an alternative to Cameron’s Tories. And what happens? We get the news from Southwark Crown court and UKIP has to deal with terrible…
Politics.co.uk Would this mean a by-election in South Shields? There’s a story runnnig, which appears to be an exclusive, on the Politics.co.uk website suggesting that David Miliband has accepted” the top EU foreign affairs role that he was being tipped and, indeed, is current favourite in the betting. Well done to Wibbler on the previous thread for the spot. According to the site’s Emmeline Saunders the information has come from “a Labour source” and that this could all be announced…
Will he get slammed over his “cast-iron referendum pledge”? It’s hard to think that it was just five weeks ago that the Sun came off the fence over what it would do at the general election. It came out publicly for Cameron’s Tories – news that was released on the evening after Gordon Brown’s big conference speech – something that provoked a furious reaction at the conference. The picture above is off union boss, Tony Woodley, ripping up a copy…