Tweet The party looks set to get more behind him The one set of ratings that the Tories always throw at Ed Miliband are those below on who “would be best Prime Minister”. Here EdM has suffered because of the reluctance of many of those saying they’d vote Labour to get behind their man. My guess is that the main impact of this afternoon’s speech, in terms of the all important media narrative, will be that after two years the…
Tweet YouGov The time is starting to run out I make no apologies for returning to this subject once again but I regard the above “blame for the cuts” findings as more important than voting intention numbers or leader ratings in pointing to the outcome of the next general election. The Opinium poll for the Observer at the weekend had very similar numbers with just 29% of those sampled blaming the coalition. Today’s YouGov for the Sun has Labour back…
Has Miliband’s “Budget bonus” finally subsided? There’s a new telephone poll from ComRes for the Independent which has the Lib Dems moving up 3 to 15% at the expense of Labour which sees the smallest gap over the Tories since Osborne’s much-criticised March budget. On leader ratings there’s other bad news for Labour. Asked whether Mr Miliband has what it takes to be a good prime minister, 22% agree and 63% disagree. For Dave the figures are 39% and 52%…
Tweet A round-up of Ed Miliband bets Bet Price Ed to be next Prime Minister 6/4 Ed to be Labour leader at Next General Election 1/4Â Ed NOT to be PM before 2020 5/6Â Ed to be PM before 2020 5/6Â Ed to be replaced as leader before Election 3/1 Ed to be replaced as leader in 2012 50/1 These are best prices from assorted bookies. To my mind the best value bet is the 6/4 that he’ll be next…
Tweet 46% say it’s responsible with just 29% blaming the coalition? Amongst the deluge of polling ahead of the Labour conference there’s one set of numbers that should really worry the Two Eds – when asked this week by Opinium for the Observer “Who would you say is most responsible for the current state of the UK economy?” 46% said the last Labour government with just 29% saying the coalition government. A total of 18% said none of these with…
Tweet Is that what the election could come down to? Some elections are won; most are lost. Rarely do the electorate have the luxury of two parties, both of which look like they could offer a strong, competent team which could govern well and lead the country forward in the way it would like. Sometimes they don’t have any and it’s a matter of choosing the least-worst option or opting out altogether. It’s not inconceivable that 2015 may be a…
Henry G Manson looks forward to the next conference A year ago Ed Miliband gave an alarming performance at Labour party conference. Even thinking about it is traumatic. The speech wasn’t very good, the delivery was worse, delegates booed Tony Blair’s name and the TV feed was lost for several minutes half-way through. All that was needed was for the set to collapse and there would have enough material for a new series of You’ve Been Framed. The conclusion of…
Two years on and he’s the most secure of the three September 25th 2010 is a date I remember fondly. I’d made a big call a couple of days earlier that Ed was going to beat his brother Dave in the leadership contest and so it happened – albeit by the tightest of margins. I had EdM bets ranging downwards from 33/1 and my winnings on that day were enough to buy a brand new car. For much of the…