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Category: WHITE HOUSE RACE

Do Endorsements Matter?

Do Endorsements Matter?

Which, if any, endorsements made a difference for the Democrats? One of the major features of explaining the primary victories of either candidate in any given state or territory, alongside demographics or previous voting history, has been the litany of endorsements that are collected along the way. However, when we compare the geographical and chronological spread of these endorsements, we see that they frequently appear to be entirely independent of their chosen candidate’s success in that state. I wanted to…

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The TV campaign that says Hillary’s still there

The TV campaign that says Hillary’s still there

Obama wins majority of pledged delegates but the race goes on This is the new Clinton TV commercial for South Dakota which is holding its elections on June 3rd on the last day of this prolonged primary campaign for the Democratic nomination. It has just been issued even though overnight Obama took a gigantic step forward by securing a majority of pledged delegates. Hillary had her expected big victory in Kentucky but Barack has built up a big margin in…

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Could the convention force Hillary onto the ticket?

Could the convention force Hillary onto the ticket?

Will the “dream ticket” happen whether Obama likes it or not? An interesting scenario on what could happen at the Democratic Convention in August over the party’s V-P choice is set out in this piece from Huffington Post. Jason Linkins puts it like this: “You imagine being on the floor in Denver. Hillary’s delegates, NEARLY HALF THE DELEGATES, are demanding she be on the ticket. These are true believers who have stuck with Clinton through thick and thin. To them,…

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Is it going to be an Obama-Edwards ticket?

Is it going to be an Obama-Edwards ticket?

Time Magazine’s Mark Halperin is predicting a big announcement tonight. Could it be that John Edwards has come off the fence and is going to endorse Barack? Or could this be the start of something bigger – an Obama-Edwards ticket? The website Political Insider is making a strong case for Edwards who was , of course, the V-P nominee in 2004. We shall see. Mike Smithson

So the Democratic race goes on

So the Democratic race goes on

But do these final primaries matter at all? After her expected huge victory in the predominantly white working class state of West Virginia Hillary Clinton was in upbeat mood overnight and made it clear that she is still striving to become the next president. This is her biggest victory so far yet the mood of the commentators was that it was irrelevant. Only 28 delegates were at stake, the outcome had been widely predicted, and Obama’s quiet campaign amongst the…

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Can West Virginia do anything to the Dem race?

Can West Virginia do anything to the Dem race?

..Or have we passed the game-changing moment? Another Tuesday evening and another primary in the race for the Democratic nomination. This time it’s in West Virginia which decides the fate of 28 delegates. The state’s demographics look good for former First Lady and it’s possible that she could finish up in the 60s with Obama down in the 20s. But will it matter? For it’s beginning to look as though last Tuesday’s North Carolina and Indiana primaries finally closed the…

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Is Oregon a certain win for Obama?

Is Oregon a certain win for Obama?

   Picture of Obama rally in Portland by Photoscott    Does Clinton stand a chance of winning Oregon? Following her triumph in Pennsylvania on the 22nd April and an effective tie in Guam on May 3rd, but having suffered difficult headlines since last Tuesday in Indiana and North Carolina, Hillary Clinton will need to build momentum quickly to prevent a hemorrhaging of Superdelegates to Barack Obama. She has the potential to rally her flagging campaign with solid wins in West…

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ABC News says “dream ticket” under discussion

ABC News says “dream ticket” under discussion

The main political story on ABC News this afternoon is that “..intermediaries” have resumed discussing the possibility of an Obama-Clinton “dream team” ticket…”. A former top Bill Clinton aide and now ABC News’ chief Washington correspondent, George Stephanopolous, said: “I think it’s very much a possibility and there are others around Sen. Clinton, other top Democrats who think the strongest ticket would be a joint ticket..There are intermediaries discussing this very scenario” He went on:”..Right now Sen. Obama is probably…

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