Why Electoral College bands are not created equal State 2008 lead     Poll average     Elec College Votes   Cumulative ECV Nevada 12.5 5 6 243 Wisconsin 13.9 3.5 10 253 New Hampshire 9.6 3.5 4 257 Ohio 4.6 1.8 18 275 Iowa 9.5 1 6 281 Colorado 9 1 9 290 Virginia 6.3 1 13 303 Florida 2.8 1 29 332 North Carolina 0.3 -1 15 347 Missouri -0.1 -6.3 10 357 Montana…
Will Paul Ryan help or hinder the Romney campaign? Within the past hour it’s been announced that Mitt Romney has chosen Wisconsin congressman, Paul Ryan as his running mate. The telegenic 42 year old has made a big impact in Washington as chairman of the House Budget Committee and he’s very much seen as someone who’ll appeal to the party’s core supporters. But is there, perhaps, too much baggage around from his fights with the White House over the budget….
Real Clear Politics average Did it start to go wrong in London? The latest from the RCP polling average says its all – it’s been a horrible August so far for Mitt Romney. This, of course, shows the national polling which had been holding up reasonably well for Mitt. The state polls particularly in the key swing states have, with just one or two exceptions, been bad for him as well. As well as the negative media coverage of his…
Condi on the ticket chopped 6 pts off Obama’s lead on both our MI and PA polls over the weekend- real game changer potential there — PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) July 24, 2012 Condi’s favorability rate in Pennsylvania is 60/27 and she nets Romney 6 points on Obama — PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) July 24, 2012 @MSmithsonPB yes — PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) July 24, 2012 Could Rice on the ticket give Romney the White House? Later today the US pollster, Public Policy Polling, is issuing…
VP possible Most qualified Least qualified Favourable Unfavourable Rob Portman 3% 5% 17% 19% Tim Pawlenty 5% 6% 25% 28% Bobby Jindal 5% 5% 25% 29% Paul Ryan 6% 9% 28% 29% Condoleezza Rice 31% 6% 53% 31% Marco Rubio 6% 9% 29% 28% Economist/YouGov poll How much will her good numbers influence Romney? With Mitt Romney due to announce his choice as running mate within the next month the question of who it will be has become just about…
Don’t worry, Republicans. The RNC isn’t for another six weeks. Plenty of time to find a new nominee. — Richard Adams (@RichardA) July 13, 2012 Could they even impact on the nomination? About six weeks ago David Herson had a post here under the heading “Is it worth taking out Mitt insurance?”. In it he looked at the possibility of Romney not making it and posed the question of whether Romney punters should cash in their winnings. Since then, of…
Drudge Report Could my 40/1 shot be a winner? On Sunday, just five days ago, I posted here under the headline “Why I’m betting on Condi to be Mitt’s running mate”. I suggested that the 40/1 then available against the former US secretary of state, Condoleezza Rice, as Romney’s running mate was a good bet. Overnight the big political news in the US is that the Drudge Report is saying that Condi is the front-runner. This is what he’s reporting:-…
Is she the woman Ann Romney was hinting about? Ever since Ann Romney’s July 4th TV interview in which she hinted that her husband might choose a woman as his running mate there’s been a lot of speculation over who that could be. The questions are how much can we read into her comment and who could she be talking about? One piece I found persuasive is this from the respected commentator William Kristol in which he looks at the chances of…