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Category: CON Leadership

It is now a 33% chance on the betting markets that there’ll be a general election next year

It is now a 33% chance on the betting markets that there’ll be a general election next year

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Chart Betdata.io ATTENTION “Brenda from Bristol”! I can’t remember a time when there has been so much uncertainty about the short and medium-term of British politics. With the Article 50 date for Brexit less than 6 months away and still no deal with the EU it is extremely difficult to project what’s going to happen in the coming months. Labour is pressing for a general election and will use its MP numbers and what other power it has in the…

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Hammond’s budget: the tabloids react

Hammond’s budget: the tabloids react

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The budget – at least its been a break from Brexit My guess is that the Tories will not be too unhappy about the coverage of the budget. Mostly the papers are positive or neutral and he has managed to avoid horrors of the past like George Osborne’s pasty tax. So initially job well done and some prominence for the Chancellor who is nothing like a high profile as his predecessor George Osborne, who was sacked by Theresa May just…

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Surely the time’s come for the media to treat Moggsy’s ERG boys as all piss and wind

Surely the time’s come for the media to treat Moggsy’s ERG boys as all piss and wind

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Last night they created a shocking let-down One of the problems with letting it be known that you are making threats and repeatedly not followed them through is that after a time people start to twig and cease to take you seriously. That stage, surely, has now been reached with Moggsy’s ERG boys which claims to have 80 CON MPs as active members. Given how their statements on other things have not been realised I treat that number with a…

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The new regime at the Daily Mail is going to make it make it harder to oust TMay

The new regime at the Daily Mail is going to make it make it harder to oust TMay

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The Mail turns its fire on the Tory plotters who are trying to oust TMay pic.twitter.com/0EFC8l78w3 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 22, 2018 Now the plotters are being dubbed the “peacocking saboteurs” One of the most important things that happened to British politics this autumn was the change of editors at the Daily Mail. Hardline brexiteer, Sir Paul Dacre, is no longer in the post which is now held by pro-Remain, Geordie Greig. In my post on the ending of…

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In contrast to new reports of a TMay confidence move YouGov give her the highest best PM rating since early June

In contrast to new reports of a TMay confidence move YouGov give her the highest best PM rating since early June

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Boost for the PM while the plotters plot This is getting so tiresome in sharp contrast to the PMs recovering poll ratings. It seems like every week at the moment hardline CON Brexiteers are briefing journos that they are very near to getting the 48 letters from MPs demanding a TMay conference vote. The fact that this hasn’t happened shows the weakness of those who want to get rid of her. For the vote to take place is one thing…

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Will Theresa May be Tory leader at the 2019 Tory Party conference?

Will Theresa May be Tory leader at the 2019 Tory Party conference?

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Why I’m betting on Theresa May to still be Tory leader at the 2019 Tory party conference. This Paddy Power market is essentially a bet on Mrs May getting a deal done and passed in the Commons. Iff she manages to achieve those two things then I’d expect Mrs May and the Tories to get a boost in the polls so ditching her straight away might not be possible. With Boris Johnson confirming once again he is the modern day…

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