Browsed by
Category: Coalition

Is it down to “Non-FPTP Virgins” and Age?

Is it down to “Non-FPTP Virgins” and Age?

Comments 0 Comment

The above charts show two sets of data with the referendum voting intentions of decided voters from the latest YouGov poll. The first shows how the referendum is being viewed by different age groups and illustrates the heavy reliance of YES voters in the younger age groups who are, of course, less likely to vote. It should be noted that YouGov did ask a voting certainty question and the splits reflect that. Our second chart shows the regional splits with…

Read More Read More

Labour 15 points behind in the “blame game” tracker

Labour 15 points behind in the “blame game” tracker

Comments 0 Comment

The latest YouGov “blame game” tracker is out and shows a slight improvement for Labour with the gap at 15 points. Every two weeks YouGov panellists are asked the same question on which is most responsible for the spending cuts. As can be seen Labour has continued to attract substantially more blame than the coalition though the situation is a lot better than it was last June. But things have remained fairly static since November. This is one regular non-voting…

Read More Read More

Populus report 6 point lead for NO

Populus report 6 point lead for NO

Comments 0 Comment

Now something for the NO campaigners to smile about A new Populus poll for the Times just out has a YES 47% to NO 53% split amongst decided voters. (NOTE that in line with PB practice the figure were use are re-percentaged so proper comparison can be made with other surveys.) This will come as a blow to the YES camp just after a YouGov poll suggested that opinion was moving in the other direction. As yet we have not…

Read More Read More

How many candidates has Labour been able to field?

How many candidates has Labour been able to field?

Comments 0 Comment

Could a big increase be good news for the blues? At midday nominations closed for the council elections that will take place in most of England on May 5th When they are published we’ll get our first indicators of how Labour is approaching the coming fight and also about the current health of the party. Harriet Harman’s goal is that the red team will have more candidates for up to 30 years. The chart above shows what’s happened in five…

Read More Read More

Are members of the coalition simply exhausted?

Are members of the coalition simply exhausted?

Comments 0 Comment

Jonathan looks at the toll of being in government David Cameron looks tired.  At the last PMQs the Prime Minister was not on top form. Arguably he has started to show symptoms of exhaustion. Other ministers are faring little better. It is perhaps understandable. Even before Libya, the workload undertaken by this administration was daunting. After less than one year in office is this government already exhausted? At PMQs this week the Prime Minister was not at his best. He…

Read More Read More

Will “Saving the NHS” help save the Lib Dems?

Will “Saving the NHS” help save the Lib Dems?

Comments 0 Comment

Is Clegg about to jump onto the Lansley Lifeboat? The main story in the Indy on Sunday is a report, described as an exclusive, by Matt Chorley and Nina Lakhani that David Cameron will announce this week that the brakes are to be put on Andrew Lansley’s controversial NHS reforms. The report states: “… Mr Cameron will publicly admit to mistakes in the plan by the Secretary of State, Andrew Lansley, to hand £80bn of health spending to family doctors,…

Read More Read More

Will YouGov spoil Ed Miliband’s good day?

Will YouGov spoil Ed Miliband’s good day?

Comments 0 Comment

Did he make the right call over the protests? As predicted here on PB a week ago Ed Miliband is to marry Justine, his long-term partner and mother of his two children. The announcement was followed by an assured performance at PMQs when he returned to what seems a successful tactic of asking Cameron about a detail that the PM is not able to give. But there’s some YouGov polling just out that might take the edge off today. When…

Read More Read More

What’ll May 5th do to Nick’s and Edward’s careers?

What’ll May 5th do to Nick’s and Edward’s careers?

Comments 0 Comment

The Sun Are the locals set to underpin the Labour leader? Yesterday morning I was accused of seeking “to manage expectation” when I speculated that Labour could be heading for a gain of 1000 or more seats in the local elections in England on May 5th. The poster, who clearly has close links with the party, said that “the last time he looked Labour was expecting gains of about 200”. Well if that is the case then Labour has a…

Read More Read More