Did you take HenryG Manson’s advice in November? It was back in November that Henry G Manson wrote a post here suggesting that we should be betting that the Welsh secretary, Cheryl Gillan, would be the next cabinet exit. At the time Henry noted Gillean told Free Press in June: “If the project goes ahead, I would resign the whip unless the Prime Minsiter tells me he would allow me to vote against it. When I was appointed to the…
Would 3 straight wins give him the nomination? After the knife-edge win for Mitt Romney in the Iowa caucuses this week, most of those watching the race for the Republican nomination will have moved on to the first primary proper: New Hampshire. That’s only natural as it is the next state to vote but with all expectations that Romney will gain a healthy win there, it may not be as important as it sometimes can be in weeding out losers,…
But is she being too harsh on Labour and Ed?
Who’ll win the New Hampshire without Romney bet? To make Tuesday’s New Hampshire primary more interesting from a betting perspective Ladbrokes have put up a market on who’ll come out top without Romney. This has seen a fair amount of money going on Ron Paul whose price has tightened sharply to 4/6 since the market went up. The result is that other contenders have been moved out and the 11/4 on Rick Santorum looks particularly tempting. I’ve noticed that the…
What can Labour do to inspire confidence? ComRes has released some polling that it did for ITV News just before the Christmas break in which respondents were asked “Do you, or would you, trust each of the following politicians to see the country through the current economic situation?” As can be seen on what other surveys have shown as the key issue facing the country Ed Miliband and Ed Balls score below Nick Clegg and are a long way behind…
Santorum gets within 8% Poll Romney Santorum Ron Paul Gingrich Perry Huntsman Rasmussen NATIONAL 29 21 12 16 4 4 Gallup NATIONAL tracker 27 11 13 19 6 2 Suffolk Uni NEW HAMPSHIRE tracker 41 8 18 7 0 7 Zogby NEW HAMPSHIRE 38 11 24 9 1 8 The big difference between the Gallup daily poll and Rasmussen is that the former is a tracker based on the average of the last five surveys. As Nate Silver observes it’s…
In praise of Douglas Carswell I am a Lib Dem but I’ve always found the partisan nature of UK politics a bit of a turn off. I think most people realise it is largely a facade and that lots of parliamentarians get on very well with their colleagues from other parties. In some cases much better than they do on their own side, after all they are vying with those in their own party for the jobs! So I was…
Guardian Can she expect preferment in the expected ministerial re-shuffle? When Conservative MPs return to Westminster after the long New Year break you can bet that one of the main things they’ll be talking about will be David Cameron’s first major re-shuffle of his ministerial team which is expected at some stage during 2012 – probably after the Olympics. This is the moment when many of the 147 Tory MPs first elected at the general election will be hoping to…