Santorum gets within 8%
|Gallup NATIONAL tracker||27||11||13||19||6||2|
|Suffolk Uni NEW HAMPSHIRE tracker||41||8||18||7||0||7|
|Zogby NEW HAMPSHIRE||38||11||24||9||1||8|
The big difference between the Gallup daily poll and Rasmussen is that the former is a tracker based on the average of the last five surveys. As Nate Silver observes it’s easy to extrapolate that the latest part of this had Santorum on about 20% – almost the same.
The Suffolk New Hampshire poll is also a tracker with half today’s number being based on fieldwork yesterday – the rest took place before the Iowa outcome was known. So the latest Santo share is higher than that reported.
Whatever the Anti-Romneyites have got a huge task ahead if they wish to stop Romney. A lot could depend on the two New Hampshire debates this weekend.
Mike Smithson @MikeSmithsonOGH