As a general rule I am not a fan of best Prime Minister polling because there is a strong incumbency bias, Jim Callaghan led Margaret Thatcher on this metric on election day in 1979. This type of polling is only useful when the an opposition leader takes consistent leads in this poll as it usually presages a change of government however there is something very interesting which will make grim reading for Kemi Badenoch, she is barely beating Nigel Farage…
I still think the value is with Donald Trump Jr given the iron grip his father has on the Republican party. TSE
From The Telegraph article A shadow Cabinet minister said that they could not think “of a single one” of their colleagues who thought Mr Johnson returning to the Conservative Party fold would be a good thing. Iain Martin, a political columnist, told the Not Another One podcast last week that two Conservatives MPs had made it known they would “not stick around” if Mr Johnson became party leader again. This is great news for those laying Boris Johnson as next Tory leader….
The Sunday Times published a story about Kemi Badenoch’s leadership which has progressed as serenely as Operation Citadel did for the Germans, it really is a matter of when she is replaced before the general election not if and inevitably discussion has turned to her successor, Tim Shipman writes I cannot see either plan working, firstly there’s only one Tory MP who received over 50% of the vote at the last election not the eight Boris Johnson and his allies…
“Never ask a question to which you don’t know the answer” is cross-examination’s golden rule. It means asking just what you need to establish the facts or argument necessary for your case. Described as forensic, lawyers-turned-politicians are over-praised for this skill, often undeservedly so. Political persuasion is about crafting a story resonating with ordinary people, not making clever points to impress judges. Investigations are different: asking questions to which you don’t know the answer is essential. Curiosity is a much-underrated…
My first thoughts about this polling is that Reform voters are very positive about what a Reform government will achieve which means their support won’t be shifting. That Green figure is intriguing and it means the assumption that plenty of Greens will vote for Labour as the lesser of two evils might be misplaced. TSE
TSE
For every amount of indignation “surrendering our territory for no reason” that can be stoked, India has stoked quite the opposite feeling of anti colonial indignation at the previous status quo, now leading to their day of triumph, for It’s come to this win for India after a long campaign by them sponsoring the fight for this outcome. We own it in eyes of UN. We don’t have to yield to UN court judgement’s, but we do need to be…