I am not a fan of class warfare and I am not particularly enamoured by this finding from YouGov but I am trying to work who this will benefit the most out of Bridget Phillipson and Lucy Powell. I understand why Bridget Phillipson is the favourite but I wonder if the best bet to be made is backing Phillipson and Powell as next Prime Minister at 33/1 and 50s at Ladbrokes and Betfair respectively. Their odds would tumble if scandal…
There’s a ludicrous amount of hyperbole on social media today which I suppose isn’t different to any other day. Whilst Sir Keir Starmer showed poor judgment in picking a man who had to resign in disgrace twice before to be our man in Washington I am not sure voters will use as the main reason how they vote in 2029, the economy, schools and hospitals, and a dozen other things. The closest analogy I can draw to today’s resignation is…
Yesterday news broke Sir Robert Worcester, founder of MORI, had passed away. He used to post on PB in the early days, advising Mike Smithson and other PBers to focus on the share of the vote for the parties and not to fixate on the lead. PBer Viewcode, like myself had the pleasure of meeting Sir Bob, this is Viewcode’s anecdote, ‘I met him briefly. He was gracious, informative and didn’t have any “side” to him, despite the fact that…
I thought this was either a typo or I was misunderstanding the figures but it turns just 1 in 25 voters think politicians are primarily out for the UK. That’s a lower figure than 7% of Brits who think Liz Truss returning to frontline politics would be a good thing. TSE
I am not sure who to back in this market but I think might be a market where the profitable option would be lay rather than back. One thing that makes this election so exciting is that this election will be conducted under the alternative vote system rather than archaic and flawed first past the post system which should favour the most transfer friendly candidate. One thing which should be noted as the eligibility to participate in this election was…
Taking back control from our unelected rulers for a new generation. TSE
I just cannot see why a party with a working majority of 157 would go for an early election in 2027. I am asking Betfair to put a up a year of the next election market because I would be laying 2027 like there’s no tomorrow. If the polls are as dire in 2027 as they are now then surely Labour would wait for as long as they could try and turn things around by 2029. My expectation is that…
In the excitement about Angela Rayner’s tax minimisation strategies there was a More in Common poll about next year’s Holyrood elections and John Swinney’s strategy might be working. Although I wouldn’t Relax when seeing this poll because No still leads Yes in this poll 52% to 48%. A few weeks ago I tipped backing the SNP to win the most seats at 1/6 which is now 1/12 which I don’t think represents value now. Ladbrokes are offering a second place…