As an evil capitalist pig-dog I have never been worried about the far left taking power in this country because they always end up engaging in factionalism and never getting anything done. Your Party just confirm my views, not since the SNP motorhome story has a political story amused me this much, we will live in a world where some people think Jeremy Corbyn is a Zionist. Labour and Zack Polanski will be similarly amused at such fun inside Your…
Ladbrokes have a market up on who will the most seats out of Labour and the Greens at the next general election, my initial thought is that I’m not backing either side. You would need to put couple of zeros at the end of the Green price and I’d probably be interested, whilst we see some polls have the Greens ahead of Labour I suspect under the campaign lights the Green policy platform would wilt. My expectation is that if…
About twenty years ago Mike Smithson used to point out that David Cameron consistently polled much better than the Tory Party, that was pretty much true for the entire decade Cameron led the Tory party and it is something I have always tracked for party leaders. As we can see with the polling from YouGov Labour are polling 19% but 27% want Starmer to remain Labour leader which should give Labour MPs who are thinking of replacing Starmer as any…
This usually is a market where laying the favourite is profitable but in this instance I am not so sure given the clown car comedy act Starmer’s premiership has become. I have been advising laying Nigel Farage in this market for months because if Starmer goes before the general election then his replacement will be from the Labour party. TSE
Last night my phone starting pinging like mad with news alerts from various news apps I have on my phone about Sir Keir Starmer facing a leadership within the next few weeks. Historically it is very difficult to replace a sitting Labour leader, 172 Labour MPs out of 232 MPs voted to say they had no confidence in Jeremy Corbyn but he remained in place. My only betting strategy in light of this news is to keep on laying Andy…
On Saturday I pointed out that the voters will be unhappy if Rachel Reeves raises taxes in this month’s budget but there’s some wiggle room for her. As we can see in the above poll few Brits think Brexit has been good for anything, the sunlit uplands are as dark as a December night. The problem for Labour is that if they keep on blaming Brexit for the ills of the country then country might soon as the government to…
The headline grabbing feature of this poll is that on the economy Labour are polling worse than Liz Truss however there’s someting much more interesting for me. Reform are polling very well in the voting intention figures yet more people trust the Tories on the economy, this might indicate that the Reform vote share is soft and can be reduced and the Tories could do much better a general election if they can present themselves as the most (relatively) economic…
I am not playing this market as it is the epitome of an insiders’ market despite Suella Braverman’s longstanding flirtation with Reform. I am not sure what Suella Braverman’s purpose is in the Tory Party other than to ensure Robert Jenrick isn’t the most disliked Tory MP. TSE