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Following Humza Yousaf’s resignation this morning it appears a coronation for John Swinney is the plan for the people that gave us Humza Yousaf. It was clear before Yousaf became First Minister that he was going to be a bit of a useless duffer as First Minister and all the signs that John Swinney might be similarly rubbish based on his previous stint as SNP leader between 2000 and 2004. That said that Ipsos polling from last year might give…

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You didn’t have to be an expert in Scottish politics to realise Humza Yousaf was a bit of a duffer and his decision to abrogate the Bute House Agreement would have serious consequences but it appears those close to the First Minister weren’t aware the Green response would have suboptimal consequences for the SNP government and Yousaf in particular. As the news breaks this morning that Yousaf could resign as early today I suspect the SNP’s men in kilts have…

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For the Tories and Sunak this coming Thursday it was expected to be like the first day of The Battle of the Somme yet it might not be so bloody for them thank to the local Mayors. This poll showins Andy Street leading and today’s Sunday Times reports Labour claims to have conceded defeat in the Tees Valley. Party officials say they are pulling activists out and redeploying them in the West Midlands, where the future of Street, the Tory…

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So there we have it, the price for Ash Regan backing Humza Yousaf in the vote of no confidence in First Minister, the SNP need to stand aside in some Holyrood seats for Alba. To be frank that’s a complete non starter, Alba received 1.66% of the vote in the list component of the 2021 Holyrood elections and Alex Salmond’s is even more unpopular than Boris Johnson with Scots. If Yousaf agreed with this proposal his own party would oust…

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Dan Poulter is also a NHS doctor who has been working on the front lines will have resonance, Sunak is proving to be a very unlucky general as the Observer says A Tory MP and former health minister has staged a dramatic defection to Labour, saying the Conservatives have become a “nationalist party of the right” that has abandoned ­compassion and no longer prioritises the NHS. Dr Dan Poulter, the MP for Central Suffolk and North Ipswich, who works part-time as a…

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This polling is unsurprising because height, like skin colour, is one of those immutable characteristics but I don’t think it will cause Angela Rayner any problems in the short term. Finally we do have a betting market on Angela Rayner’s future. I don’t think is any value in backing No and there may well be a smidgen of value in backing Yes particularly if we have a summer election, a near 14% return in a few week looks attractive from…

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Next week could be very exciting With a vote of confidence set for both Humza Yousaf and the SNP government at Holyrood if the rumours at Westminster are true then next week could be the antithesis of boring. I suspect the rumours will prove to be inaccurate given they were started by Nadine Dorries yesterday and as the Guardian observes Yet the likelihood of Sunak firing the starting gun on a general election campaign on Monday, which would mean voters…

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It speaks volumes to Sir Keir Starmer’s brilliance that the betting markets are offering odds on Sir Keir doing better than Sir Tony Blair in 1997, this is what winning the argument looks like. As for this market I think it is poor value (particularly as they do not offer the other side of the bet.) As we get closer to the election I suspect we will find better value proxy bets if you expect Starmer to eclipse Blair. TSE