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Author: TSE

If these numbers persist then Vance is unlikely to win in 2028

If these numbers persist then Vance is unlikely to win in 2028

These tweet shows how poorly Trump is doing in the polls, if these sort of numbers persist then assuming free and fair elections are held in 2028 then the current favourite on Betfair to win 2028 J.D. Vance will be damaged by these numbers by association. If you fancy tying up your money for nearly four years then laying Vance then this might be the strategy for you. TSE

Will Reform have at least 10 MPs when the next election is called?

Will Reform have at least 10 MPs when the next election is called?

Ladbrokes have a market up on will Reform have 10 or more MPs at the time the next election is called, the time value of money alone makes this a poor bet (and the fact the other side of the bet isn’t offered). With the Rupert Lowe legal action against Nigel Farage, Lee Anderson, and others, I wouldn’t be betting on the number of Reform MPs there will be at any point in this parliament, which has potentially over four…

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5 months ago the Conservatives were the 1/10 favourites to win the Canadian election

5 months ago the Conservatives were the 1/10 favourites to win the Canadian election

Canada might turn out to be an example of Donald Trump damaging the chances of right wing parties across the world. Something Nigel Farage and to a lesser extent Kemi Badenoch may have to worry about. Although Sir Keir may also have that issue but he does have a get out of jail card that he is Prime Minister and has to live in the real world. I suspect if Ukraine is sold out by the appeaser and the beardy…

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Betting on the next Pope? That would be an ecumenical matter

Betting on the next Pope? That would be an ecumenical matter

If you have any money resting in your account you might be contemplating betting on who will be the next Pope and bookies like Paddy Power are offering odds but I would caution against betting on these markets as this is the epitome of an insiders’ market. No matter how many times you have watched the film Conclave doesn’t make you an expert on papal elections. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the candidate most aligned with the late Pope…

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It’s a bold strategy. Let’s see if it pays off for Farage.

It’s a bold strategy. Let’s see if it pays off for Farage.

As Reform continue to surge in the polls Scotland isn’t immune to the charms of a Farage led party this time but I wonder if his latest announcement will cause Reform to stall and indeed go backwards in North Britain. Reform going for the votes of disaffected Scottish nationalists is fraught with risks as it risk alienating Unionists who were considering voting Reform but would never countenance supporting the SNP or Scottish independence. Nigel Farage whose lifelong political strategy has…

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The greatest resurrection of all time. There’s more Liz Truss leadership talk

The greatest resurrection of all time. There’s more Liz Truss leadership talk

Today is a day synonymous with resurrection and discussing Liz Truss leading a major political party again would be a resurrection greater than the Son of God. This talk has emerged after The Times reported that Liz Truss has been giving advice to Nigel Farage on how to deal with the blob were Farage to become Prime Minister, unless the advice is ‘Nigel, don’t do anything I did during my 49 days as Prime Minister’ then Farage should ignore her,…

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I visited IllicitEncounters.com so you don’t have to

I visited IllicitEncounters.com so you don’t have to

The Express have reported that This appears to be a voodoo poll, a self selecting poll, where anybody can vote, repeatedly as I cannot find anything on IllicitEncounters.com related to the pollster who conducted this poll, and I have spent a long time on their website trying to find that information. Whilst I can understand why women would be attracted to the brilliance of a Cambridge educated lawyer any poll that has Piers Morgan at the top of this ranking…

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