The state of it
I suspect this is why Tory attacks on Labour’s stint in government so far aren’t really having impact. TSE
The new normal? Reform ahead of the Tories
Somebody made the observation to me last night that the 75% of the polls conducted wholly in 2025 have Reform ahead of the Tories, admittedly this from admittedly small sample size. My friend observed to me that this year opinion polls will shape the narrative a lot with the likely postponement of so many local elections this year. If this trend becomes solidified then I think it puts Kemi Badenoch under pressure to turn things around, the narrative the Tories…
The Tory party is the party for traitors
TSE
Does Kemi need to be more modest and self effacing?
The Critic have published an article focusing on what they see as Kemi Badenoch’s Achilles’ heel “Kemi, unfortunately, has bought into her own mythology. Her self-image far outstrips her actual abilities, a dangerous delusion that has led her to miscalculate time and again. This overinflated sense of self is perhaps best captured by her childhood friend Taiwo Togun, who said Kemi’s mindset is: “I’m probably the best thing in the room, you just don’t realise it, and you will realise…
If Lab doesn’t succeed perhaps the voters will turn to somebody other than the Tories?
TSE
Scottish independence is off the radar says Sturgeon
In her weekend interview with the FT Nicola Sturgeon covered a wide range of topics but from a betting perspective this is the key quote. The day after the UK’s 2016 Brexit vote, [Sturgeon] said a second independence referendum was “highly likely”. Now it’s “off the radar . . . But in younger age groups, support for independence is 60, 65, 70 per cent. They’re not changing their minds as they get older. The demographics are very firmly in one…
How Trump could ensure the UK rejoins the EU
With Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin seen as effectively two cheeks of the same arse by the voters there has to be some reaction even before we remember just how the polls show the voters Brexit has been a bit of a disaster. If a referendum were to be held it would likely to be in the next parliament if we had a Lab/Lib Dem coalition at the next election as I expect it would be the latter’s red line…
Reform councillors are revolting. Is Farage in trouble?
I suspect more Reform councillors will be revolting as Nigel Farage parrots the incoming Trump administration’s views on the UK taking back Shamima Begum. Ladbrokes have a specials market on Nigel Farage and for me the only bet that is only worth considering is the 1/6 on Farage to not be replaced as the leader of Reform. Reform isn’t like most political parties as they are a limited company so ousting Farage isn’t possible because of their structure even if…