A bit like increasing taxes voters are in favour abolishing trial by jury but not for themselves. For the first polling question I expect support for proposals will fall as the opposition grows to this fundamental part of our legal system is upended. TSE
Whilst this was a feisty performance from Kemi Badenoch I do not anticipate Rachel Reeves departing this yeas. TSE
TSE
One of the main reasons I didn’t become a politician is my utter contempt for the public and when I see polling like this it reaffirms my decision. This polling is part of some wider polling by YouGov as we approach tomorrow’s budget, I feel sorry for the politicians that have to appease the public when they are in this mood. Increasing taxes on the rich despite it reducing the tax raised is a it like peeing your pants, it…
If you’re not mentally prepared for the possibility of Ed Miliband becoming Prime Minister then you should be. My logic since September 2024 when I tipped him at 100/1 was that he was very popular with Labour members who have the final say on who becomes Labour leader. This poll of Labour members reaffirms my thinking, as of 6:55 today you can back Ed Miliband as the next Prime Minister at 14s on Betfair and that still seems like value….
I thought it was very unlikely that given the nature of her resignation that Angela Rayner could succeed Sir Keir Starmer now I am not sure and perhaps a punt on her to succeed Sir Keir Starmer might be worth it. TSE
Ladbrokes have put a market on which quarter of 2026 Sir Keir Starmer will be replaced as Labour leader. If Starmer goes in 2026 (and there’s no certainty of that) I would expect him to go/be ousted in the aftermath of the devolved and location elections which take place in May which would be the trigger point and given how long the Labour leadership election would take I think the value might be in the latter two quarters of 2026…
TSE