As gaffes go this is pretty funny and will see the urine extracted from Starmer (like the Tories have done with their Tweet) but it won’t shift any votes like the gaffe the Tory Party made when they made Liz Truss Prime Minister. TSE
There was some slight movement away from Jenrick over the weekend following the revelations about one of his donors but he has largely recovered over on Betfair. If you’re not mentally prepared for Robert Jenrick as Tory leader then you should be. TSE
Despite polls such as today’s NBC poll putting Harris 5% ahead (the first time either Harris or Biden have led this year) I still maintain that this is a close election so this election will be one with marginal gains so I pay great attention to stories like the one AP are reporting in the Tweet above. As a keen activist I know that knocking on doors and working those maybes to yeses then knocking them up on election day…
When Anna Coke married Colin Paget Tennant in the 1950s, for their honeymoon he took her to Paris, where the bride lost her virginity in awkward and painful circumstances, then her husband took his bride to partake in an orgy in a seedy Paris hotel, later on he took her to a stage show where a man made love to a donkey. I mention this story because I was struggling to think about a worse honeymoon than the one Sir…
If Reform want to win more MPs at the next election then they need to lower the number of voters who think Reform are extreme, should not be near power, nasty, and dishonest. I’m not sure those figures will improve whilst Nigel Farage continues to be Donald Trump’s personal proctologist. TSE
Earlier on this week I said I was expecting Donald Trump to win the electoral college then somebody who I respect when it comes to polling and politics told me I was epically wrong. They told me to remember one of Mike Smithson’s adages that close to an election the net favourability scores are often a better predictor of election outcomes than standard voting intentions. As we can see above from FiveThirtyEight Kamala Harris has better net approval ratings than…
Will Kemi’s class warfare work? It’s an interesting approach from Kemi Badenoch, I suspect it won’t have much positive impact on Tory MPs but could have an impact with Tory members with her effectively telling Cambridge educated lawyer Robert Jenrick that she is prolier than thou. This is the Starmer approach who occasionally mentioned he was the son of a toolmaker, that led him to winning a majority of over 200 seats at the election. She needs to do something…
Will the Vice President’s post debate boost last? Despite Donald Trump’s asseveration that he won the debate the polls say otherwise and Betfair has moved accordingly the question now is will this lead last? Because the Ayrshire hotelier has chickened out of future debates it might mean the lead goes back to pre-debate levels but it gives him fewer opportunities to do so. Two days ago I said I expected Trump to win the electoral college but I am revising…