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Author: TSE

I hope Nigel Farage bets

I hope Nigel Farage bets

I just cannot see why a party with a working majority of 157 would go for an early election in 2027. I am asking Betfair to put a up a year of the next election market because I would be laying 2027 like there’s no tomorrow. If the polls are as dire in 2027 as they are now then surely Labour would wait for as long as they could try and turn things around by 2029. My expectation is that…

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Farage goes to Holyrood

Farage goes to Holyrood

In the excitement about Angela Rayner’s tax minimisation strategies there was a More in Common poll about next year’s Holyrood elections and John Swinney’s strategy might be working. Although I wouldn’t Relax when seeing this poll because No still leads Yes in this poll 52% to 48%. A few weeks ago I tipped backing the SNP to win the most seats at 1/6 which is now 1/12 which I don’t think represents value now. Ladbrokes are offering a second place…

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About Liz Truss wanting to return to frontline politics

About Liz Truss wanting to return to frontline politics

Today is the third anniversary of Liz Truss becoming Prime Minister and earlier on this week she didn’t rule out a return to frontline politics and this polling confirms what people think about her tenure. If Liz Truss is to return to politics I cannot shake the feeling she will end up in Reform, Ladbrokes are offering a market on Boris Johnson defecting to Reform, I’d love to see a market about Liz Truss defecting to Reform. I have never…

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Like Churchill will Boris Johnson defect from the Tories?

Like Churchill will Boris Johnson defect from the Tories?

I am not sure there’s any value in these markets. There’s too much ego involved for this to work even before we consider Nigel Farage inability to work well with others. Would Nigel Farage really want to allow the man behind the Boriswave into his party? As for Nadine Dories, I am a huge fan of Nadine Dorries, as Ladbrokes allude to, her predictions for next Tory leaders/exits are a real money spinner from a punter’s perspective if you bet…

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Angela’s ambitions in ashes?

Angela’s ambitions in ashes?

Whilst I will go to my grave saying conveyancers aren’t lawyers this isn’t a good look for Angela Rayner, punters certainly agree. What will ultimately cause Rayner’s downfall is the hypocrisy angle and the fact she’s blaming her advisers who are fighting back and making Rayner look at best disingenuous. TSE PS – Hat-tip to TheUnionDivvie for the headline