A Westminster insider once observed to me that poll politicians most take notice of is the poll that has them doing the worst as politicians are a glass half empty type of people and this YouGov poll today is a shocker.

The Tory party which (in)famously only ever panics in a crisis might soon be having another ‘moment’ if they start ending up behind the Lib Dems and still stuck in the teens.

Up until quite recently I thought Kemi Badenoch was safe until next year’s local and devolved elections but if finishing behind the Lib Dems/stuck in the teens becomes the norm then she might not last 2025.

Betfair are offering 3s on Badenoch being ousted this year.

TSE