Go West!

18/1/2025 TSE Comments 0 Comment

YouGov's MRP for the 2025 German election shows a strong East/West divide, with the AfD leading in all but two constituencies in the former East Germanyhttps://t.co/9UMT1N9AYW pic.twitter.com/iYR3L1cK2x
— YouGov (@YouGov) January 17, 2025

The central projection of YouGov's German MRP model shows AfD making the most gains of any party, though whether the left-conservative BSW, liberal FDP and socialist The Left can win seats is on a knife-edge

CDU/CSU: 222 seats (+25 from 2021)
AfD: 146 (+63)
SPD: 115 (-91)… pic.twitter.com/6krIpdafYj
— YouGov (@YouGov) January 17, 2025

When I first saw the map of the YouGov MRP I thought it looked like a map of the old West and East Germany.

Alongside Canada, Germany will be the major election to bet on in 2025, like Canada I am not as knowledgable enough to bet considerable sums yet, so if you have any insights please share your thoughts in the comments.

TSE

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Go West!

18/1/2025 TSE Comments 0 Comment