Peter Kellner’s predictions in Sunday Times https://t.co/s5cAQ6qeUc pic.twitter.com/vc8Tx5ZEtM

— John Rentoul (@JohnRentoul) June 30, 2024

4. Tax won’t help Tories (contradicts shy Tories?) ?
5. Proportional rather than uniform swing ?
6. Tactical voting similar to 1997 [More]
7. Scotland 28 Lab, 18 SNP ?

— John Rentoul (@JohnRentoul) June 30, 2024

Former YouGov Chairman Peter Kellner has published his predictions and if he’s right then there’s a superabundance of betting opportunities, in the constituencies by using his assumptions.

If you’re a bit pragmatic then the 9s on the Tories winning 150 to 199 seats on Betfair and if you’re feeling that Kellner is right then the Tories are a buy on the spreads.

TSE