Exclusive: Bombshell MRP poll predicts Tories will lose three-quarters of their seats

Full seat-by-seat results and map ?https://t.co/1Kg0kWRSPi

— John Stevens (@johnestevens) February 14, 2024

We have our first MRP to put the Tories below 100 seats. (Find out now / Electoral calculus – 18k sample).https://t.co/Ax5jbbpBzJ pic.twitter.com/cxUCtRc2Cf

— Sam Freedman (@Samfr) February 14, 2024

It's official.
The UK has fallen into recession.
Latest @ONS figures show gross domestic product shrank by 0.3% in Q4 2023. That follows a 0.1% contraction in Q3. And two successive quarters of contraction is widely regarded as a technical recession.

— Ed Conway (@EdConwaySky) February 15, 2024

Perhaps even more important than overall GDP is GDP per capita, which adjusts for the rising population (v important given the scale of migration flows recently). It’s probably a better measure of real economic growth.
And it’s down by 0.7% in 2023.
That’s very bad! pic.twitter.com/HCVluW9u38

— Ed Conway (@EdConwaySky) February 15, 2024

Two quarters of contraction of real GDP will get headlines, but maybe this is the real story ?

? GDP per person dropped every quarter of 2023. It hasn't grown since Q1 2022
? That's 7 quarters – longest unbroken run without per capita GDP growth since records began in 1955 pic.twitter.com/bknjT5TlMy

— Andy Bruce (@BruceReuters) February 15, 2024

Don't know about you but I'm old enough to remember when a 'technical recession' was called a recession.

— Tim Bale (@ProfTimBale) February 15, 2024