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Month: June 2013

Do the size of ministers’ majorities matter?

Do the size of ministers’ majorities matter?

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  One of the charms of the Westminster system is that Cabinet ministers still have contact with the electorate through their surgeries and case work. It’s a reality check. In other electoral systems Ministers are not constituency MPs. However the make-up the voters that have the ear of Cabinet and Shadow ministers matters and they’re not always representative. Earlier this week Patrick O’Flynn at the Express argued how some of the Conservative Party’s current problems related to the fact that…

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Lord Ashcroft poll out

Lord Ashcroft poll out

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There’s a new poll out conducted for Lord Ashcroft, you can find it here. The changes are from Lord Ashcroft’s poll conducted at the end of January The field work was  between 31 May and 2 June 2013, 2,060 adults were interviewed online, and 1,007 by telephone. As we can see, the big winners are UKIP up six, whilst the Tories are down six, both Labour and the Lib Dems are down, but within the margin of error. On the supplementaries…

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Local By-Election Preview : June 6th 2013

Local By-Election Preview : June 6th 2013

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Walkergate on Newcastle upon Tyne (Lab Defence) Last Local Elections (2012): Lab 51, Lib Dem 26, Ind 1 (Lab majority of 24) Ward Results 2010 – 2012 Local Elections   2010 Local Elections   2011 Local Elections   2012 Party Votes Cast % Share Votes Cast % Share Votes Cast % Share Conservatives 346 8% 119 4% 149 5% Labour 2,009 46% 1,682 50% 1,912 68% Liberal Democrats 1,706 39% 1,580 47% 646 23% BNP 303 7% Communists 102 4%…

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PB Scottish Independence Poll

PB Scottish Independence Poll

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What % will the yes side get in next year’s Scottish Independence referendum? 0% to 10% 10.01% to 20% 20.01% to 30% 30.01% to 40% 40.01% to 50% 50.01% to 60% 60.01% to 70% 70.01% to 80% 80.01% to 90% 90.01% to 100%    pollcode.com free polls 

Is Alex Massie right on Scottish Independence?

Is Alex Massie right on Scottish Independence?

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The below graphic is from Ipsos Mori showing the support for Scottish Independence over the last thirty-five years Over at the Spectator’s Coffee House, Alex Massie has written a piece about the forthcoming referendum following on from the viewing of the first part of the documentary called the Road to referendum, which can be viewed here. He says If stories matter in politics – and I think they do – then one of the largest problems facing Unionists is their lack…

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PB Nighthawks is now open

PB Nighthawks is now open

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Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you are interested in politics and betting, welcome to, The One and Only, place on the internet dedicated to political betting. If you’ve always been a lurker, Nighthawks gives you an opportunity to delurk. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant story) Gallup polls six EU…

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Will Nick Clegg lead the Lib Dems at the general election?

Will Nick Clegg lead the Lib Dems at the general election?

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It has been a difficult few years for the Lib Dems and Nick Clegg in particular since they formed the coalition, Electorally, they’ve had three years of successive net loss of councillors in the local elections, finishing seventh and eighth in some by-elections, losing the AV referendum, House of Lords reform foundering, and that’s before we move onto the opinion polls, which has seen the Liberal Democrats consistently polling in single digits/behind UKIP, even with the most recent ICM poll, they slipped into fourth place, seven points…

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Survation poll on the UK withdrawing from the EU

Survation poll on the UK withdrawing from the EU

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Survation have carried out a poll for Sky News, they asked: “Do you think the UK should remain a member of the EU?” The changes are from the Survation poll for the Mail on Sunday in January (note the question then was slightly different to the question asked in the Sky News Poll), as we can see this represents a 6.5% swing in favour of those wishing for the UK to remain in the EU since January. I found this bit…

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