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Month: June 2013

It’s time for the rest of the polling industry to follow Survation and treat UKIP on an equal basis

It’s time for the rest of the polling industry to follow Survation and treat UKIP on an equal basis

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Farage’s force is no longer “some other party” Last year the newbie pollster which is now picking up an awful lot of business, Survation, caused controversy in the industry by including UKIP in its main voting intention prompt. The result was that Survation began showing shares for UKIP which were considerably larger than many other firms. The practice for online pollsters had been to list CON, LAB, and LD on the first screen of the voting intention questioning with an…

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If the last LAB government continues to be blamed then how come they are so far ahead on voting intention?

If the last LAB government continues to be blamed then how come they are so far ahead on voting intention?

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@msmithsonpb Surprising that Labour are doing so well in the opinion polls if many still blame them for the economic situation. — Stephen Hopkins (@StephenHopkin11) June 9, 2013 Surely non-voting findings are “priced in”? Above is an exchange I had on Twitter pointing up one of the main characteristics of current polling – the gap between what people are saying when asked how they will vote and their responses to specific points like the Brown still being blamed one. It…

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The Ashcroft polling on the leaders

The Ashcroft polling on the leaders

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From the Lord Ashcroft polling released on Friday, there was focus upon the three established party leaders. Overall, views of the three leaders have changed remarkably little over time. Asked to choose from a selection of words and phrases that might describe them, participants continue to choose “out of touch” for Cameron, with “stands up for Britain” as a positive counterbalance. Miliband remains predominantly “weak” and “out of his depth”, with no very prominent positives. Clegg contrives to combine the…

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PB poll on the 2014 Euros

PB poll on the 2014 Euros

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Who will win the Euros in 2014 (in the GB wide share of the vote) Conservatives Labour Liberal Democrats UKIP Greens Other    pollcode.com free polls 

YouGov poll for the Sunday Times

YouGov poll for the Sunday Times

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Yougov Sunday Times poll. Con 30, Labour 40, UKIP 14, Lib Dems 9 — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) June 9, 2013 64% Support ending the winter fuel allowance for wealthy pensioners, 28% oppose. – Ed’s policy has support — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) June 9, 2013 On cutting benefits 21% say Ed M did it because he genuinely believes that it is the right thing to do. — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) June 9, 2013 But 60% says he does not believe it is right, but…

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Reshuffle talk

Reshuffle talk

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The possible ins and outs of the cabinet – according to today’s Sun newspaper. twitter.com/TSEofPB/status… — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) June 8, 2013 In the past day there’s been a few stories about some upcoming reshuffles. In the Evening Standard it says David Cameron will carry out a ministerial reshuffle within weeks — with a second, more sweeping reshaping of his government towards the end of the year, the Standard has been told. The Prime Minister’s double shuffle will start in July,…

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Who will be the UK’s next Man in Brussels?

Who will be the UK’s next Man in Brussels?

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  By this time next year, there’ll have been plenty of time to pick over the results of the European and local elections, for analysts, activists, elected members and party leaders alike.  The local elections are something of a mirror-image to this year’s: heavily weighted to urban areas, including London.  Combined with European results, they hold a very miserable prospect for both governing parties.  So much so that talk of leadership change is likely, though the chances of actual change…

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Night hawks is now open

Night hawks is now open

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Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB Night Hawks. If like me, politics and betting is “Always on my mind” for news on politics and betting, you’ve come to the right place. If you’ve always been a lurker, nighthawks gives you an opportunity to delurk, if you’re thinking, It’s a sin, to post, it isn’t The round up of recent events (click on the links below,…

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