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Month: September 2012

If the White House Race was decided by size of TV audience then Obama wins easily

If the White House Race was decided by size of TV audience then Obama wins easily

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But both Romney and Obama well down on 2008 ratings The TV audience figures for the final night of the Democratic convention are out and we are able to make comparisons between Romney and Obama and with how many watched four years ago when John McCain was the GOP nominee. Barack Obama’s speech on Thursday night attracted 35.7m viewers which compared with 38.4m at the 2008 convention. Mitt Romney’s speech last week had an audience on 30.3m viewers which was…

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Are we seeing the first moves of the 2015 coalition?

Are we seeing the first moves of the 2015 coalition?

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Ladbrokes are offering 6/1 against a LAB-LD pact The revelations that Labour leader, Ed Miliband is in, apparently, regular text contact with Vince Cable is intriguing. According to the Sun he told a think tank that “Wisdom doesn’t reside in one party”. So what’s going on? Is EdM merely trying to keep his lines of communication open just in case he needs the yellows after the general election? Or could it be that Vince Cable could provide the answer to…

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Could Justine be the next cabinet casualty?

Could Justine be the next cabinet casualty?

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One member of the gvt says they considered firing Justine Greening on the spot because of her tantrum on reshuffle day — Sam Coates Times (@SamCoatesTimes) September 7, 2012 Justine Greening didn’t want International Development brief and told No10 she didn’t believe in the budget ringfence thetimes.co.uk/tto/news/polit… — Sam Coates Times (@SamCoatesTimes) September 7, 2012 No10 admits PM was drinking on sacking night, sharing a glass with Ken. But no ‘sipping’ while sacking Cheryl Gillan thetimes.co.uk/tto/news/polit… — Sam Coates Times…

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Could the 3rd runway provide the route for a BoJo return?

Could the 3rd runway provide the route for a BoJo return?

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Henry G Manson looks at the consequences of a U-turn David Cameron has given every sign of preparing for an eventual u-turn over Heathrow. The Prime Minister is now seeking a cross-party consensus over a third runway although it’s been made clear the policy won’t change during this parliament, but could well apply if the Conservatives were returned in 2015. To remove further barriers to this policy shift David Cameron has reshuffled Transport Secretary whose constituents would be directly affected….

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Why Labour’s polling position might not be as robust at it looks

Why Labour’s polling position might not be as robust at it looks

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Some other findings from today’s daily poll Cameron’s YouGov lead as “best PM” up from 8% a fortnight ago to 11%.He’s 33% to Ed’s 22% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 6, 2012 Just 53% of LAB voters tell YouGov that Ed Miliband would make the best PM. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 6, 2012 LAB might enjoy 45% voting intention share with YouGov but just 31% say they want a LAB majority government with 30% saying a CON one —…

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Time to close down those Mitt Romney positions

Time to close down those Mitt Romney positions

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This is the moment when I realize that –save for the pesky 22nd Amendment — Bill Clinton right now would be running for his sixth term. — Walter Shapiro (@waltershapiroPD) September 6, 2012 Clinton’s genius is in trotting out totally focus-group-tested lines and making them sound incredibly authentic. — Nate Silver (@fivethirtyeight) September 6, 2012 Clinton mastery is not just getting crowd going, but getting him going in his direction. An interactive speech, an experience. #DNC2012 — Rick Klein (@rickklein)…

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It’s now a polling dead heat between Romney and Obama

It’s now a polling dead heat between Romney and Obama

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But Nate Silver reckons that Barack has a 76.3% chance? The latest Real Clear Politics average on the November White House race shows that the gap has got closer following last week’s GOP convention in Tampa and they are now dead level. But the leading US elections expert, Nate Silver, has now adjusted his forecast making the President a 76.3% chance to hold onto his job. Nate’s case is that previous elections the historicial evidence points to the contender who…

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Cameron made a mistake attacking EdM over the coffee

Cameron made a mistake attacking EdM over the coffee

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Does he need to take a lesson from Maggie? Overall I thought that both David Cameron and Ed Miliband did well at the first session of PMQs for nearly two months. Both seemed to be charged up and on top of things after their holidays which, unlike last year, were not interrupted by the need to return to London because of the rioting. The one part of Dave’s performance wherehe made a mistake was his attack on Ed Miliband for…

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