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Month: August 2012

The money starts going on Mitt Romney again

The money starts going on Mitt Romney again

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But will it turn after the Democratic convention? If I wasn’t still on holiday in France at the moment I would be able to access my Betfair account to resume trading on the November’s White House race. In spite of being in the EU the French authorities clamp down on Betfair and the betting exchange goes to great length to stop you from using your account. Fortunately the latest move back to Mitt Romney was entirely predictable because contenders almost…

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The August Ipsos MORI Issues Index

The August Ipsos MORI Issues Index

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Ipsos-Mori have released their August Issues Index. The fieldwork was conducted during the Olympics. They note That despite the public’s captivation with London 2012, the economy and unemployment remains top of their agenda. Three fifths (61%) of the public mention the economy as one of the most important issues facing Britain today. This polling has been carried out in the same way for 37 years and involves interviewees being asked face to face and completely unprompted to name the main issues they are…

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PB Nighthawks is now open

PB Nighthawks is now open

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Home of the web’s best political conversation Relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events. If you’ve always been a lurker, why not get Into The Groove, and start posting tonight? The round up of the day’s events. Nick Clegg says in tomorrow’s Guardian Britain’s wealthiest people should face an emergency tax to avoid a breakdown in social cohesion as the country fights an “economic war” caused by a longer than expected recession. He also used the interview to…

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Is one Ed better than two?

Is one Ed better than two?

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Over the last few days, several newspapers have had articles mentioning disharmony between Eds Miliband and Balls. The Guardian observed  the Labour leader, who promoted Balls to the post of shadow chancellor against his better instincts after the surprise resignation of Alan Johnson, is finding him hard work and secretive. The Times noted that Ed Miliband saw at first hand the worst of the disputes between Tony Blair and Gordon Brown, and is unlikely to make the mistake of  Tony…

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Most Americans Still Predict Obama Will Win 2012 Election

Most Americans Still Predict Obama Will Win 2012 Election

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Gallup have released some polling, one of which asks, Regardless of whom you support, and trying to be as objective as possible, who do you think will win the election in November. Barack Obama 58% (+2%) Mitt Romney 36%  (nc) The changes are from the last time they asked the question in May. Given the closeness in the Voting Intention polling, the 22% lead is interesting, and for Mitt Romney, probably disheartening, given “Americans’ prediction of who will win is significant…

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ICM Polling in the Guardian VI added

ICM Polling in the Guardian VI added

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  The Guardian has published an excerpt of their monthly ICM poll. On the net satisfaction ratings, David Cameron still leads Ed Miliband minus 12 to minus 13. Nick Clegg’s net satisfaction rating is minus 26. Following on from the reports on problems in the relationship between Ed Miliband and Ed Balls, the ICM net rating when asked if Ed Miliband is doing a good job is minus 13%, for Ed Balls it is minus 8%. The Guardian notes Balls…

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Are Vince’s strong polling numbers a threat to Clegg?

Are Vince’s strong polling numbers a threat to Clegg?

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Would the yellows poll better with him named as leader? Net “Stay/Sack” William Hague 42.9% Vince Cable 23.6% Iain Duncan Smith 22.2% Caroline Spellman 19.3% Philip Hammond 17.6% Ken Clarke 16.2% Jeremy Hunt 2.2% Michael Gove 0.6% Theresa May 0.3% Andrew Lansley -2.3% Baroness Warsi -15% George Osborne -16.4% As we saw last week with the Lib Dem Voice survey of activists there’s a lot of interest in the party leadership – something that will be magnified as we get…

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Tim Montgomerie’s advice to David Cameron.

Tim Montgomerie’s advice to David Cameron.

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In today’s Times, Tim Montgomerie has an article, offering some advice to David Cameron, to help him deal with his current problems. He points out despite the “omnishambles” of recent months, the polling shows that the electorate still prefer David Cameron to Ed Miliband as Prime Minister, and on the economic front, David Cameron and George Osborne lead the two Eds on the economy, despite George Osborne’s unpopularity and the fact we’re currently in a double-dip recession. To tap into…

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