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Month: June 2011

Should we listen to Olly Grender about cabinet betting?

Should we listen to Olly Grender about cabinet betting?

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Will the cabinet stay intact until at least 2012? There are some very wise words on Olly Grender’s blog at the New Statesman about betting and the likelihood of a re-shuffle. “….From Caroline Spellman on forests, Kenneth Clarke on rape sentencing to Andrew Lansley on NHS reforms, politicians are no longer instantly losing their jobs. Instead they remain there to put things right. Even Vince Cable remained in post after the sting by the Telegraph (for which they were recently…

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Remember this eight months before polling?

Remember this eight months before polling?

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Is Hannan part of the Tory problems on the NHS? Whatever the details of individual polls it’s hard to argue other than that the Tories have a big perception problem on the NHS. There’s a view that runs deep, a lot of generated by Labour campaigning over the years, that the blues are not fully committed to the concept of public health care. Remember the Daniel Hannan interview on FOX News just eight months before the general election? The interview…

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ComRes: Just one in four believes Dave on the NHS

ComRes: Just one in four believes Dave on the NHS

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Is the issue still toxic for the blues? After a polling evening that has seen terrible news on voting intentions for the Lib Dems, a worrying picture on voters views of the economy and Labour, there’s are some tricky numbers for for the Tories in a ComRes/ ITV News poll on the health service changes. This found that voters are extremely pessimistic about NHS reform plans and Cameron’s handling of them. A large number are calling for the latest plans…

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Labour lead down to one point with Populus

Labour lead down to one point with Populus

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The LDs drop to a new low with the phone pollster There’s a new Populus phone poll out for the times that has the Tories up 2 to 39, Labour up 1 to 40 with the LDs dropping to a new low with the firm. In other findings just 23 per cent of voters now say they trust the Labour leader and Shadow Chancellor to run the economy better, a 10 per cent drop since the last time Populus asked…

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Was this EdM’s best speech so far?

Was this EdM’s best speech so far?

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Did he do enough to start to turn things round? Given the pressure that Ed Miliband has been under these past few days I was impressed by his big speech this afternoon. Not only did we see a step change in his delivery but the content was more substantial and a good answer to those who’ve accused him in the past of being far too vague. His voice came over as much less nasal which makes his speeches a little…

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Can Dave win his party round on international aid?

Can Dave win his party round on international aid?

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Is this a policy where there’ll be no U-turn? Almost whenever the public is polled on which areas of government expenditure should be cut Britain’s international aid programme comes near the top. Yet this, together with the NHS, are two parts of the government’s spending that were specifically ring-fenced at the general election and have continued to maintain their privileged status. This is in spite of sustained attacks from the tabloids on money being spent overseas at a time of…

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Which Tory newbie will be first to cabinet level?

Which Tory newbie will be first to cabinet level?

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Interesting betting market from Stan James on which Tory MP first elected in 2010 will make it to the cabinet. Newcomer Tory MP Betting odds Comments Claire Perry 7/2 Her comments about Bercow attracted a lot of attention – but she’s smart, loyal and serious Anna Soubry 3/1 She took Nick Palmer’s seat at the election – impressive in recent TV performances – articulate with the common touch. Like Andrew Lansley she is ex-SDP. Matthew Hancock 6/1 Well briefed, well…

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The latest leader approval ratings

The latest leader approval ratings

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On the previous thread one or two people were asking for information on the latest party leader ratings from YouGov. The figures are represented in the chart above with change in the net from the last poll a week ago. The YouGov question asks “Do you think DC/EdM/NC is doing well or badly as leader of the Labour party?” It’s put in exactly the same form almost every week so we can track trends. I much prefer the Ipsos-MORI form…

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