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Month: April 2010

Will the Electoral Commission intervene to stop this?

Will the Electoral Commission intervene to stop this?

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Should a party rename itself after a bookie? With all the bookies trying to catch the attention of potential political gamblers in the run-up to the election William Hill and and Official Monster Raving Loony Party have come up with an original sponsorship deal – the party is to be renamed after the firm for the period of the election campaign. This means, I guess, that in its new guise, the Monster Raving Loony William Hill Party, will be described…

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Was Adonis right to target Clegg’s party?

Was Adonis right to target Clegg’s party?

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Is the Lib Dem recovery eating into Labour’s vote? When Lord Adonis made his appeal[1] for Lib Dems to back Labour at the general election, he was basing that call on what he saw as “the fundamental Labour-Lib Dem identity of interest”. It sounds a positive message and he quotes various instances when Labour and the Lib Dems have worked together both recently and throughout their histories. There could well have been a defensive as well as a tactical reason…

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It’s 40/30/20 with YouGov

It’s 40/30/20 with YouGov

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YG daily poll: The Sun Apr 9 Apr 8 CONSERVATIVES 40% 40% LABOUR 30% 31% LIB DEMS 20% 18% LAB to CON swing from 2005 6.5% 6% So tonight’s YouGov daily poll reinforces the trend that we have seen from other polls this week. A move away from Labour with the Tories either progressing a bit or holding firm Given differential swings in the marginals this puts the blue team into overall majority territory and will add to the jitters…

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Now Labour drops a point with Harris

Now Labour drops a point with Harris

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Harris (Daily Mail) Apr ??? Apr 6 CONSERVATIVES 37% 37% LABOUR 27% 28% LIB DEMS 22% 20% LAB to CON swing from 2005 6.5% 6% This morning we reported the new Harris poll in the Metro that had Labour up a point. There’s now a new survey from the firm for the Mail tomorrow that has the party down a point. So we have a ten-point lead for the blues and Labour only one point up from what Angus Reid…

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How is Charles Clarke bucking the trend?

How is Charles Clarke bucking the trend?

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A CON – LAB swing – Eh? There’s a new poll out from Ipsos-MORI on Norwich South where ex-home secretary and fierce Brown critic, Charles Clarke, is facing a tough fight with the Tories, LDs and the Greens. The numbers with changes on the 2005 election: LAB 39%(+2): CON 20%(-2), LD 19%(-11):, GRN 19%(+12). The voting intention question listed all the candidates names as well as their parties and like with all Ipsos-MORI poll the sample was not past voted…

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Introducing Edmund’s “PB Enhancement” widget

Introducing Edmund’s “PB Enhancement” widget

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Edmund from Tokyo has produced a great little widget designed to help PBers follow threads better. It’s simple to install on Firefox or Google Chrome and simple to operate. These are some of its features as Edmund explains:- An “Ignore” link will appear next to each comment. When you click on it, it will hide the text of any comments by the poster you chose to ignore. It stores this information in a cookie in your browser, so it will…

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Will Lib Dems take notice of “Adonis the Defector”

Will Lib Dems take notice of “Adonis the Defector”

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Could his call be counter-productive? The Indy’s front page features a plea from Baron Adonis, a former Liberal Democrat councillor in Oxford and ex-PPC, to supporters of the party he defected from to support Labour on May 6th in order to stop the Tories. His first target of supporters of his former party in Labour-Tory marginals because, “a vote for the Lib Dems is a vote which helps the Tories against progressive policies.” That’s fairly standard rhetoric and is central…

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Labour recover a point with Harris

Labour recover a point with Harris

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Harris – Metro Apr 8 Mar 29 CONSERVATIVES 37% 37% LABOUR 28% 27% LIB DEMS 19% 19% LAB to CON swing from 2005 6% 6.5% This week’s poll from Harris Interactive is published in the Metro this morning – although fieldwork finished on Tuesday – the day the election was called. So the poll, in the context of the current battle, is quite old and it is odd that it should have taken so long for the fieldwork to have…

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