RFK Jr’s ratings

RFK Jr’s ratings

One of the things I thought that might cause problems for Joe Biden was anti-vaccine grifter RFK Jr using his family’s name to siphon off votes from Joe Biden’s supporters so those poll findings from YouGov should be reassuring for Team Biden. I suspect those positive ratings with Republicans will not translate into votes for RFK Jr from the GOP voters. His popularity is likely be down to the potential damage he could do to Biden and his anti-vaccine beliefs…

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Houston, we have a problem

Houston, we have a problem

One of the primary reasons underpinning my belief that Joe Biden will win in November is that the current iteration of the Republican, captured by Donald Trump, is too extreme for most Americans, and Joe Biden will hoover up the centre and independent ground so this finding from deep in the heart of Texas reaffirms that belief. Conservative Republicans’ attacks on gun control, abortion and climate-friendly investing practices are deeply unpopular — and costing Texas billions of dollars, according to…

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The return of Farage

The return of Farage

I suspect Nigel Farage will prefer to continue acting like a third rate concierge to Donald Trump than come back to lead Reform. Reform seem disorganised and Richard Tice is having to pump his own money into Reform this isn’t a party that will struggle to organise a decent election campaign. I think the value is backing less than 10.5% in this market from Ladbrokes but I will understand why others may disagree. TSE

Will we see another defection today?

Will we see another defection today?

After the unexpected defection of Natalie Elphicke last week I wouldn’t be surprised to see another defection today. Two out of the three Tory MPs to Labour defectors this parliament have occured right before PMQs. TSE

Not looking good for Sunak as he approaches Truss levels

Not looking good for Sunak as he approaches Truss levels

It seems every few days a new bit of polling comes out which shows Rishi Sunak matching or exceeding the dire polling Liz Truss delivered which made her the UK’s shortest serving PM. Now only 14% of the public think it is fairly/very likely that Rishi Sunak can win the next election, I would encourage this 14% of voters to open a Betfair account so seasoned punters can introduce them to the joys of gambling. In Sunak’s defence he was…

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