Away from the dramatic political events in the US tonight’s Local By-Election Preview :

Away from the dramatic political events in the US tonight’s Local By-Election Preview :

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We now return you to your regularly scheduled programme Eltham North (Lab defence) on Greenwich Result of council at last election (2014): Labour 43, Conservatives 8 (Labour majority of 35) Result of ward at last election (2014) : Emboldened denotes elected Conservatives 1,975, 1,823, 1,519 (32%) Labour 1,946, 1,942 1,556 (31%) United Kingdom Independence Party 1,221 (20%) Green Party 591 (10%) British National Party 307 (5%) Liberal Democrats 207, 205 (3%) EU Referendum Result: REMAIN 65,248 (56%) LEAVE 52,117 (46%)…

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How Clinton apathy delivered the presidency for Trump

How Clinton apathy delivered the presidency for Trump

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Keiran Pedley looks at some initial numbers suggesting a lack of enthusiasm for Clinton handed Trump the White House on Tuesday. After Tuesday night’s astonishing victory for Donald Trump you get the feeling that the fallout has only just begun. Analysts and pundits on all sides of the politial spectrum are trying to come to terms with what happened and there is likely to be an intense political fallout on the Democratic side with far reaching, long term implications for…

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Anatomy of parts of the biggest ever political betting event

Anatomy of parts of the biggest ever political betting event

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The total amount matched was £199,232,591 The reason the Clinton and Trump amount figures in the charts don’t add up to the overall total is that there were, of course, other possible and actual contenders. Another bookie, Sporting Index, has reported a successful US presidential election night with Donald Trump’s win set to result in a six figure profit for the leading spread betting company. I am sure that all PBers will be delighted to hear that news! Normally bookies…

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If Clinton does win the popular vote then it’ll make the polling look a tad less bad

If Clinton does win the popular vote then it’ll make the polling look a tad less bad

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Whatever this is going to go down as a massive polling miss This is becoming a bit of a pattern. A massive election in which the pollsters are seen to have performed badly. We haven’t got the final national vote shares yet but it is likely that Hillary Clinton will have topped Trump so the deviations for many in the RCP list above will be within the margins of error. Unfortunately for her it is state Electoral College Votes that…

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After a dramatic night the PB/Polling Matters team analyse Trump’s extraordinary victory

After a dramatic night the PB/Polling Matters team analyse Trump’s extraordinary victory

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It’s 6.30am on Wednesday 9th November and Donald Trump is heading for victory and will soon become the next president-elect of the United States. Keiran and Leo discuss how it happened, what it means and what comes next. Follow Keiran and Leo at @keiranpedley & @leobarasi Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet

It is looking like Clinton’s firewall was as useful a defence as the Maginot Line

It is looking like Clinton’s firewall was as useful a defence as the Maginot Line

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In the last three hours both Clinton and Trump have been both sub 1.10 and above 11 on Betfair pic.twitter.com/EivApSkQp7 — TSE (@TSEofPB) November 9, 2016 CNN: Hillary Clinton has never once set foot in Wisconsin since winning the Democrat nomination #ElectionNight — Jack Blanchard (@Jack_Blanchard_) November 9, 2016 Frank Luntz at 11.43pm In case I wasn't clear enough from my previous tweets: Hillary Clinton will be the next President of the United States. #ElectionNight — Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) November…

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Looks like Donald Trump is E pluribus unum

Looks like Donald Trump is E pluribus unum

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The chart sump the batshit craziness of tonight as Trump becomes the favourite on Betfair. 1am Trump was an 8% chance. £165m matched so far pic.twitter.com/lGWUsmWWMz — TSE (@TSEofPB) November 9, 2016 The NY Times is predicting a Trump victory pic.twitter.com/GUsRCfxxoE — TSE (@TSEofPB) November 9, 2016 The best thing about Trump winning, Brexit might no longer be the most important issue facing the UK — TSE (@TSEofPB) November 9, 2016 FL, NC, and OH are done. It's down to…

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