Now he’s odds-on to serve till 2020 or later On the UK betting markets at least punters are taking a more positive view about Donald Trump’s chances of staying in the post till 2020 or beyond. It seems his action on Syria has helped take the edge off the Putin link narrative that was proving to be becoming a problem for him. But the big picture remains negative and his party could still turn on him in the run up…
Paddy Power have some Brexit specials up, my initial view is that this is market is a good way of contributing to the Paddy Power Christmas bonus fund. Whilst my inner Euro-Federalist might be tempted to back the UK to rejoin the EU at some time in the future, I’d need slightly longer odds but the biggest obstacle is that I don’t fancy tying my money up for maybe the next 33 years. The 1/10 on the UK establishing a…
The blue team taking precautionary measures in case of possible by-elections? Last week there were a number of stories sparked off first by George Eaton in the New Statesman about a series of private Crosby Textor polls that the Tories are said to have commissioned in many of the 27 seats that were gained from the LDs at GE2015. The reported polling results suggested that the Tories would struggle to hold onto all but a small handful of them. The…
Prof John Curtice LEAVE won because of its success with the politically disengaged It has become very common since the referendum to view all other elections through the prism of what happened on June 23rd last year. Thus parliamentary constituencies are divided into leave or remain depending on how they voted and this becomes the shorthand for describing a place. We are told, for instance, that twice as many Labour MPs are in constituencies that voted leave than remain leading,…
Don Brind on where the UNITE boss is right and where wrong Len McCluskey is right. Labour could be back in government as a result of the 2020 General Election. I agree with the Unite leader that while there’s little chance of Labour winning the election there’s a decent chance that the Tories will lose it. McCluskey is rather more emphatic than me: “ I don’t think the Tories will win the next election. They might be the largest party…
Wikipedia With just 13 days to go till the first round of voting the big move in the polls has been the leftist contender,Jean-Luc Mélenchon, following what are being seen as strong TV debate performances. One poll during the weekend had him on 19% just 4 points Le Len and Macron and at the same level as the Republican Fillon. For the moment he seems to have momentum with him and we do know that there are much higher proportion…
Picture: Vladimir Putin meeting French Presidential candidate Marine Le Pen. If Putin made Donald Trump President why couldn’t Putin make Corbyn PM? For us political gamblers one of the things we’re now having to factor in to our bets is which candidate or party is Vladimir Putin backing. It just isn’t those gamblers who wear tin foil hats who are wondering about this. Even that well known Democratic Party member and liberal snowflake Dick Cheney recently commented that Russia’s alleged…
William Hill have a market up on whether Paul Nuttall will still be UKIP leader at the end of 2017, to be honest neither of the odds seem attractive to me. After failing so spectacularly in the capital of Brexit against a poor Labour candidate who was the living embodiment of David Cameron’s maxim about Twitter, coupled with the fun with his CV, and Douglas Carswell and Mark Reckless leaving UKIP on Nuttall’s watch would all be indicators for someone who…