Tories heading for 124 seat majority according to spread betting markets

Tories heading for 124 seat majority according to spread betting markets

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With the campaign starting to get underway again it is perhaps worth reminding ourselves that we have a dearth of up to date polling. There’ve only three national surveys that were carried out after the CON manifesto launch last week. These have been ICM and the Survation online poll for the Mail on Sunday and the phone one for Good Morning Britain. We’ve also had the YouGov Wales poll which had LAB with a bigger margin over CON than EdM’s…

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Theresa May was right, this election should be about Brexit

Theresa May was right, this election should be about Brexit

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The appalling events of Monday evening are dominating the election campaign. Young children and teenagers should be able to attend a pop concert without fear of being killed.  I struggle to understand the mind of a man that can choose to inflict so much pain and suffering on so many young people and their families.  Feelings are understandably running high: grief, anger, outrage and despair are mingled. Security is a primal concern.  The knowledge that there are people who walk…

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Every day that the GE2017 campaign is suspended is a win for the terrorists

Every day that the GE2017 campaign is suspended is a win for the terrorists

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Corbyn, May and the others are avoiding proper scrutiny One of the main functions of an election campaign is to ensure that those who seek to govern us are subject to proper scrutiny something that is much easier to avoid in non-election periods. TMay didn’t enjoy her inquisition by Andrew Neil on Monday night and I’ve little doubt that the other four who are due to be questioned are looking forward to their appearances with some trepidation. This is quite…

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NEW PB/Polling Matters podcast: Explaining the Labour ‘surge’ and predictions for June

NEW PB/Polling Matters podcast: Explaining the Labour ‘surge’ and predictions for June

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On this week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast, Keiran is joined by Matt Singh and Leo Barasi to discuss the tightening polls and what might happen in June. The team discuss whether Labour’s recent poll surge is ‘real’ and what might be behind it. Matt unveils his analysis of what will happen in June based on his model. A model which succesfully predicted the 2015 General Election when all of the polls said the race was close. Later in the show, Keiran…

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A Labour view of the party’s looming electoral disaster

A Labour view of the party’s looming electoral disaster

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Don Brind looks at landslides past I have a soft spot for Lib Dem peer Dick Taverne even though I cut my teeth as a Labour Party press officer trying to end his political career. His letter to the Guardian this week struck a chord. “Mrs May is riding high, apparently heading for a general election triumph, idolised by the tabloids for defying those beastly Europeans who seek to do Britain down. Today’s winners often end up as tomorrow’s losers,”…

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Just to confirm: Friday’s Pre-GE2017 gathering WILL be taking place

Just to confirm: Friday’s Pre-GE2017 gathering WILL be taking place

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Several people have been asking if Friday’s PB gathering is still going to take place. The answer is yes. It will start at the Lord Raglan pub, 61 St Martins le Grand, St Pauls EC1A 4ER from 6.30pm. An area downstairs called the Fireplace has been booked. As well as being close to St Paul’s the Lord Raglan is only minutes walk away from Farringdon and City Thameslink stations with their direct links to Gatwick and Luton airports, Brighton and…

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A prolonged suspension of the campaign at this critical stage is bad for democracy

A prolonged suspension of the campaign at this critical stage is bad for democracy

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The GE2017 campaign should be resumed by Thursday at the latest We are just two weeks and two days from the General Election and next week, with the Spring bank holiday, sees large numbers, particularly parents of school age children, going away. It was right that campaign activities were suspended by the parties today but things need to be restored in order to allow the proper scrutiny ahead of this huge political decision that the nation will be taking. Michael…

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GE2017 campaign suspended though what that means is hard to say

GE2017 campaign suspended though what that means is hard to say

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Juncker: "We will work side by side… to fight back against those who seek to destroy our way of life" #manchester https://t.co/mYk0A2gIEN — Adam Bienkov (@AdamBienkov) May 23, 2017 The awful events in Manchester last night have inevitably caused the general election campaign to be paused. All parties are saying that campaigning activity is being suspended. The LDs, for instance, have told activists that until further notice, public campaigning activity – that includes canvassing, campaigning online, leaflet delivery and any…

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