Marf on GE2017 looking a bit more competitive and TMay’s “social care” turnaround
As well as what’s being described as a U-turn over her manifesto pledge on social care there’ve been two new polls during the day all showing LAB making progress. The one that has shown the biggest move is the YouGov Wales poll for ITV. The figures, if repeated, suggest that LAB’s lead over CON is now greater than it was at GE2015 in the Principality. Via @roger_scully LAB sees huge surge in latest YouGov Wales poll LAB 44%+9CON 34%-7PC 9%-2LD…
TMay U-turns on her controversial manifesto social care policy
Theresa May’s 9 U-turns https://t.co/5rfqideq4d — FT Westminster (@ftwestminster) May 22, 2017 Delete Strong & Stable replace Strong & Swerving With just two weeks and 2 days of campaigning left Mrs. May has u-turned on one of the flagship policies in her manifesto – the plans for social care. This follows a sharp move in some polls although even on present numbers she is sure of a substantial working majority. In all the time I’ve been writing about politics (my…
Survation phone poll has CON lead down 10 points in a week to 9% now
Tory “squeaky bum time”? Maybe not yet Since TMay launched her CON manifesto last Thursday we have had just three published polls where all or part of the fieldwork took place afterwards – the Sunday Times YouGov, the Mail on Sunday Survation online poll and now, this morning, a Survation phone poll for Good Morning Britain. We’ve seen the same direction in all of them – a narrowing of the Conservative lead. This latest Survation has with changes on last…
The first post-referendum Premiership season ends with teams from REMAIN areas dominating
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CON drops 9 seats on the spread-betting markets following the first post manifesto polling
CON spreads down 9 on @SportingIndex 383-390 https://t.co/rSKroIPwt1 … … … … … … …& Spreadex 384-391 https://t.co/WTy5ixtSxJ … … … … … … — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 21, 2017 Spread betting is the form of gambling for those with deep pockets that are ready to take big risks and are attracted by the idea that the more you are right the more you win. Unfortunately the converse is the case. The more you are wrong the more you…
Suddenly this election becomes a lot more difficult to call – maybe not a CON landslide after all
Sun Will TMay get her landslide or could the result be a lot tighter? The launching of the Conservative manifesto on Thursday has changed the whole narrative of this election. From a situation where the only real outcome that appeared possible was a very substantial Conservative majority, certainly more than 100, we now have the first post manifesto polls with the gap closing sharply. It was very bold of the Prime Minister and her team to include items within the…
UPDATED With postal voting just starting CON lead drops
https://twitter.com/Survation/status/866035811719954433 CON lead down to single figures with YouGov Con 44 (-1) Lab 35 (+3) LD 9 (+1) UKIP 3 (-3) — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 20, 2017 The ORB Poll for S Telegraph which was carried out BEFORE CON manifesto launch Con 46Lab 34LD 7UKIP 7 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 20, 2017 Opinium poll carried out BEFORE CON manifesto launch CON 46% -1LAB 33%+1LD 8% =UKIP 5%=GRN 2%= — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 20, 2017 Still to come…