The first leader out betting. (Also known as how much the world has changed in the last ten days)

The first leader out betting. (Also known as how much the world has changed in the last ten days)

THE SUNDAY TIMES: "Tories tell May: You have 10 days" #tomorrowspaperstoday pic.twitter.com/8TZEB20YuI — Helena Wilkinson (@BBCHelena) June 17, 2017 Corbyn is set to see off his second Tory Prime Minster in just his first two years as Labour leader. Paddy Power have a market up on who will resign first, Theresa May or Jeremy Corbyn, judging by the reports in today’s papers that 1/12 looks like value, though I’m not backing it, given the other side of the bet is…

Read More Read More

The pressure ratchets up on beleaguered Theresa

The pressure ratchets up on beleaguered Theresa

Devastating from ex-CON MP Matthew Paris Today’s Times If she can survive this she can survive anything As a general rule the best bet when all the clamour is for someone to quit is to gamble that they’ll stay in post. Never underestimate the resilience of those who’ve climbed to be the top of the greasy poll of politics. They wouldn’t be there if their first thought was to quit when the going gets tough. We saw this last weekend…

Read More Read More

The Tories must leave and give Corbyn his chance

The Tories must leave and give Corbyn his chance

A tawdry May-DUP deal is not something Con MPs should sign up to According to the plan, this should have been the week when Theresa May stamped her authority on her government, her Party and the country. A reshuffle to mould her ministers in her image; a Queen’s Speech to tackle the issues she cares about, in the way that she wants to tackle them; and five years in which to do that, to deliver Brexit and to tee up…

Read More Read More

Now the speculation is that these could be TMay’s final days as PM

Now the speculation is that these could be TMay’s final days as PM

This looks very possible, Grenfell Tower could be beginning of the end of Theresa May's premiership https://t.co/y9X6TRt6RE — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 16, 2017 This is a frenzied and volatile period in Britain politics and inevitably questions are being raised about TMay’s future. Next week sees the start of the BREXIT negotiations with the EU and, of course, TMay’s first big parliamentary test – the Queen’s Speech when her government’s legislative programme is announced by the monarch and later voted…

Read More Read More

Corbyn now Betfair favourite to be PM after TMay

Corbyn now Betfair favourite to be PM after TMay

The LAB leader now a 21% as BoJo chances edge downwards With BoJo’s comments on fire-brigade cuts while he was Mayor going viral on social media and the assured visit to the Grenfell Tower scene by Corbyn yesterday there’s been a reaction on the PM after TMay betting market on Betfair. The LAB leader, rated as a 21% shot has now edged to the favourite slot as punters evaluate the impact of the tragedy on the current precarious political scene….

Read More Read More

Electing a leader from Scotland could give the LDs a huge boost north of the the border

Electing a leader from Scotland could give the LDs a huge boost north of the the border

If Gordon Brown could do it at GE10 then what about the Yellows? We all know that GE10 wasn’t a good one for Gordon Brown’s LAB. The party lost power after having a comfortable majority for 13 years and suffered huge seat losses. The chart above shows the party’s vote share changes in different parts of the UK but there was one place which bucked the overall trend Scotland. Whereas in England LAB was down more than 7.4% in Scotland…

Read More Read More

TMay drops to new ratings low & comes under fire for not meeting with Grenfell Tower survivors

TMay drops to new ratings low & comes under fire for not meeting with Grenfell Tower survivors

TMay's net favourability ratings with YouGov slump to record low. Now down to a net minus 34% while Corbyn soars pic.twitter.com/9kccrrQpcC — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 15, 2017 How things look so different from just 7 days ago What a dramatic week it has been for TMay. At this time last Thursday she appeared to be heading for a comfortable majority with her gamble on an early election looking as though it had paid off. That, as we all know…

Read More Read More

The biggest loser. How Nicola Sturgeon did even worse than TMay

The biggest loser. How Nicola Sturgeon did even worse than TMay

Alastair Meeks who correctly predicted the SNP tsunami of 2015 and that the SNP would lose their majority at Holyrood in 2016 looks over last week’s Scottish general election results. General elections are like forest fires for party leaders.  Within 24 hours of the 2015 election, Ed Mliband, Nick Clegg and Nigel Farage had all resigned.  Paul Nuttall resigned as promptly after last week’s election, after the disappointing but expected loss of UKIP’s sole MP.  Tim Farron resigned before a…

Read More Read More