Corbyn’s Labour now have a 12% lead with the upper and middle classes, let that sink in. I think whilst this might be an outlier it is probably a result of Mrs May and her close advisers decision to abdicate from focusing much/any time on the economy during the general election campaign lest Philip Hammond had a good campaign and made it impossible for Mrs May to sack Philip Hammond on June 9th. The Tories must hope whomever succeeds Mrs…
Ditching Mrs May won’t be the panacea for the Tories some Tories think it will be. Last night stories emerged that Theresa May is a ‘lame horse’, furious Tory ministers warn, amid claims they could resign to force her out, but I’m coming to the conclusion that whilst Mrs May is a pox on the Tory party, ditching her won’t necessarily improve the Tory party in the polls, though it would stop the haemorrhaging. The chart above sums up the…
Exclusive: 8 point lead for Labour in first YouGov / Times poll since election..Lab 46Con 38 pic.twitter.com/PFe2ktnY3n — Sam Coates Sky (@SamCoatesSky) July 6, 2017 Poll analysis: tonight's numbers make an early election both less and more likely — Sam Coates Sky (@SamCoatesSky) July 6, 2017 ?: Angry Tory junior ministers plot to engineer mass resignation coup in bid to oust "horse with broken leg" PM: https://t.co/MZffj7wqY4 — Harry Cole (@MrHarryCole) July 6, 2017 She must be facing her Leo…
I've been amazed by how pessimistic Brexiteers have now become. Most ardent Leaver I know texted today: "We've (they've) blown it". https://t.co/4ANiqlat1x — Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn) July 5, 2017 "I am beginning to hear talk in some quarters that Brexit may not actually happen" reports @nicholaswatt #newsnight pic.twitter.com/GveKN7XvkP — BBC Newsnight (@BBCNewsnight) July 5, 2017 Feels like a co-ordinated push on Brexit today from sceptics. Barnier. Hague. More coming later. Do Brexiteers think they are facing a coup? —…
Embed from Getty Images They were supposed to be so much more numerous, but in the end the new Conservative MPs of 2017 were a fairly select group. The 32 novice MPs on the government benches make up just 10% of the Conservatives’ intake. I’ve therefore compiled a table of the newbies which can be accessed by clicking here. What do we know about them? Surprisingly little, actually, even when you try to find out. In many cases, online profiles…
On this week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast Keiran is joined by Habib Butt and Leo Barasi to discuss the latest polling news and analysis of the week. Key topics discussed this week include: 1) What the polls tell us about the state of the parties 2) Who the voters think would make the best PM and what the numbers mean 3) Exclusive Polling Matters / Opinium numbers on why people voted as they did in June and whether Corbyn is ready…
What the recently announced House of Lords Committee on political polling might be looking at. https://t.co/kQ1A1vvxnZ pic.twitter.com/rFF24KpcBZ — TSE (@TSEofPB) July 5, 2017 The House of Lords announced last week they would looking into opinion polls, The Lords say The results of political opinion polls have become an increasingly prominent feature of British politics, caused by parties reacting to changing economic and social trends, the media seeking more frequent measures of parties’ standing, and technological innovation and falling costs in…
Gosh. Look how far Boris Johnson is down the ranking for Tory activists pic.twitter.com/ZpaDVZvczP — Sam Coates Sky (@SamCoatesSky) July 4, 2017 ConservativeHome have released their latest cabinet league table based on the votes of readers of Tory members on ConHome. Whilst the most eye catching thing might be Mrs May’s spectacular record breaking fall from grace, for me it is the score achieved by Boris. With the seriousness of Brexit in both securing a good deal and the post…