Newport on North Devon (Con defence) Result: Con 373 (37% -3% on last time), Lab 83 (8%, no candidate last time) Lib Dem 390 (39% +7% on last time), Green 159 (16% -12% on last time) Liberal Democrat GAIN from Conservative with a majority of 17 (2%) on a swing of 5% from Con to Lib Dem Highway on Enfield (Lab defence) Result: Con 620 (27% +8% on last time), Lab 1,619 (70% +23% on last time), Green 79 (3%…
The Brussels deal – the betting reaction Like all negotiations this one went right to the edge. Something had to be agreed by this weekend to ensure that things moved to the next stage, but both the EU and the UK have been flexible and Mrs. May can take some credit. The initial reaction from CON MPs was positive for her suggesting that she’ll be able to carry on until Brexit. On the currency markets, always a sure indicator, the…
On this week’s podcast, Keiran is joined by Mick Fealty of Slugger O’Toole to discuss what the DUP really wants from Brexit negotiations, the role that Irish domestic politics is playing and will play moving forward plus a new poll apparently showing support in Northern Ireland for a united Ireland with EU membership. Also on the show, Keiran looks at the recent Survation poll showing Labour +8 ahead and why it is so different to what other pollsters have and dissects some data…
Northern Ireland's top pollster finds by small margin more people saying they'd prefer to join the Republic to stay in EU than to leave EU and stay in UK pic.twitter.com/viKBapmqYI — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 7, 2017 The above findings by Northern Ireland’s leading pollster are quite dramatic because they suggest that a significant proportion of the Protestant community said that they’d preferred to stay within the EU even if that meant uniting with the Republic. What is clear is…
A Speccie headline I'd though we would never see. "Nick Clegg is right: we need a second Brexit referendum" https://t.co/QzNDjycoeN — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 7, 2017 Ladbrokes 5/1 on EURef3 might be value The Survation MoS poll on Sunday had what was a surprise result the should there be another Brexit referendum question was put. By a margin of 16% those sampled said they wanted one. This has long been been a call from the former LD leader and…
This’ll chime with a lot of people – right, left, leaver or remainer For the past two and a half weeks I have been semi detached from British politics being on holiday on the West Coast of the United States. I didn’t take my laptop and my main means of finding out what was happening was with my phone. So it has been something of a shock to return to find the spirit of despair and almost desperation, epitomised in…
Commons contempt moves start against Davis .@ChukaUmunna has written to the Speaker to initiate contempt proceedings against @DavidDavisMP for telling MPs in October Brexit impact assessments were being made, when in fact – according to Davis’s testimony today – no such risk assessments have been made — Robert Peston (@Peston) December 6, 2017 https://twitter.com/sproggar/status/938433085330378752 Only DGreen seen as more likely by punters to be next Cabinet exit Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet