But is it more about municipalising buses than helping the young? It is being reported that Corbyn’s Labour is planning a big measure to help those under 25 if it should win the next election with transport costs. The plan is to offer a free bus pass to those in that age group which can be used on those services which are wholly or partly provided by public bodies. But there’s a catch. The objective appears to be more about…
Corbyn’s declining poll ratings, economic trust and who would vote for a new party anyway? On this week’s podcast, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi discuss: 1) Jeremy Corbyn’s declining poll ratings and whether Russia or the ongoing anti-Semitism row is more to blame. 2) A new poll shows May and Hammond leading Corbyn and McDonnell +13 points on the economy. But is the economy as all-important politically as we once thought? 3) David Miliand’s favourabilty ratings – how do they compare to his…
A long-standing PBer with great knowledge of London local elections has emailed me to suggest that the 11/4 on a CON majority on Barnet Council in next month’s locals is a “good value bet”. I know that he himself is big Tory activist and knows this area very well. If he is getting the message that it might not be the certain LAB gain that was being suggested a few weeks ago then I for one take that seriously. I’ve…
How YouGov’s party leader favourability tracker has changed since TMay called GE2017 The chart shows the trend in TMay’s net favourability lead over Corbyn since she called the election jut over a year ago. The figures are calculated by taking the PM’s net rating and subtracting Mr. Corbyn’s net figure. As can be seen this really tells the story of British politics over the past year – from a position where Mrs. May was totally dominant to the turnaround at…
They say that if the outer 50 kilometres of Australia were to fall into the sea, the population of that island continent would drop by 85%. Britain doesn’t have the large hinterland that Australia possesses, but if Britain were to be attacked by a giant cookie cutter from space, it’s not at all clear that some of the places crimped off would get any less attention than before. The whole idea of going to the seaside is a relatively new…
Same poll split sample producing very different responses VERSION ONE:Once the negotiations between Britain and the European Union over a Brexit deal have been completed, do you think there should or should not be a public vote on whether Britain accepts the deal or remains in the EU after all? VERSION TWO Once the negotiations between Britain and the European Union over a Brexit deal have been completed, do you think the public should or should not have a final…
That was why GE2017 was seen as such a shock Given what happened on June 8th last year you would have thought people would have worked out by now is that you cannot look at the next election by thinking back to the last one and applying the same sort of judgements relating to what happened. So currently you will find from many committed Corbyn supporters saying that their man is going to sail through, whatever the polls might be…
If we’d done that last June the outcome would have been much less of a shock The publication of two sets of leader ratings by Deltapoll and YouGov over the weekend has put a lot of attention on these regular trackers which the records suggest are a better guide to what will happen in elections than voting intention polls. We know that the voting numbers with one exception in GE2017 joined GE2015 and GE1992 in being some way out and…