A long-standing PBer with great knowledge of London local elections has emailed me to suggest that the 11/4 on a CON majority on Barnet Council in next month’s locals is a “good value bet”.
I know that he himself is big Tory activist and knows this area very well. If he is getting the message that it might not be the certain LAB gain that was being suggested a few weeks ago then I for one take that seriously.
I’ve not identified him and I hope he might be able to participate in the discussion.
Some parts of Barnet, have the biggest concentrations of Jewish voters anywhere in the UK and I should imagine that the recent machinations within Corbyn’s Labour have gone down like a bowl of sick.
Ladbrokes still has a CON majority at 11/4 with a LAB one at 1/4 and no overall control at 12/1.
Maybe worth a punt? This is not a prediction but a suggestion that the chance of it happening might be better than the odds available.