Theresa May had a bit of a cheek turning up in Wandsworth and claiming a victory where the Tories came within a whisker of losing their jewel in the crown council Another hundred votes in the right places would have put Labour in power after forty years in opposition. A close examination of the results show that n St Mary’s Park the bottom Tory was a mere 3 votes clear of Labour’s top candidate and the second just 16 head…
Corbyn’s poor leader ratings highlight the weakness Ever since general election seat projections like the one from Sky above have appeared LAB supporters and Corbyn enthusiasts have been saying that last Thursday the party won LE2018 and if it had been had a general election then Corbyn would be the one being called to the Palace. This is based on the unfounded and somewhat arrogant assumption by LAB that all the SNP, LD, PC and GRN MPs would simply line…
It appears some people need educating on what a good electoral performance is & how it compares to past results, well I'm here to help. Especially with tomorrow being the third anniversary of Cameron winning a majority. The last time the parties won a majority 1/3 pic.twitter.com/QwmfiXvqJP — TSE (@TSEofPB) May 6, 2018 The last time the parties won a working majority. 2/3 pic.twitter.com/9McVuZLsXe — TSE (@TSEofPB) May 6, 2018 Assuming the next general election is in 2022 by then…
I like these type of markets where you can bet on whether or not X will be in their current job on a certain date. William Hill are offering such markets on Theresa May, Boris Johnson, Jeremy Hunt, and John Bercow. Because of Brexit and Mrs May’s plans for our customs arrangement with the EU which could see her toppled by the ERG wing of the party makes me loathe to back any options for May, Johnson, and Hunt staying…
Keiran Pedley takes us through Thursday’s Local Election results, calling out the results we should pay attention to and asking what this all means for the main parties at Westminster. Follow Keiran at @Keiranpedley
No Owen, Corbyn’s GE2017 performance didn’t match Blair’s at GE2001 Last night in a discussion on LE2018 on Newsnight the Oxford-educated Corbyn cheerleader, Owen Jones, sought to suggest that his man’s performance at the 2017 General Election was comparable with what Tony Blair achieved in 2001. He did it by taking the national percentage vote shares rather than looking at seat total or size of majority or some other measure. Certainly LAB got 40.3% at GE2017 compared with Blair’s 40.7%…
Are we past Peak Corbyn or was LE2018 just a bump in the road? You can tell a lot about how well a party has done by where a leader goes to celebrate their election victories. Theresa May (no doubt unwittingly) re-emphasised her caution-first nature by travelling all the way to Wandsworth: a council the Tories have held since 1978. She could have gone to Nuneaton, where the Tories stripped Labour of a sizable majority (unlike Wandsworth, where it was…
BBC News One of the things that generally happens on local election nights is that the media narrative is determined by what happens in the first few hours of results. So the big coverage was of Lab’s failure to take its key targets in London and of course the antisemitism element of the result from Barnet. But now that we’ve got just about all the results in we seen clearly that the big winners were the Lib Dems who have…