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Suddenly Tory cabinet indiscipline moves to the top of the political agenda

27/6/2018 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Is Tory discipline on the verge of breaking down? https://t.co/ELqftPoehk — BBC Politics (@BBCPolitics) June 26, 2018 Maybe it was BoJo that started it but very quickly we are seeing leading cabinet figures seeking to set the agenda away from the principle of cabinet collective responsibility. This could be very dangerous for TMay who clearly does not feel she has the strength to sack the rebels. With DefSec, Gavin Williamson, demanding zillions extra for defence the Chief Secretary to the…

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The 2018 London Local Elections : The religious factors analysed

26/6/2018 Editor Comments 0 Comment

On Thursday Willesden Green (a place well known to fans of DangerMouse) returned three Labour councillors in the election that was deferred from the local elections, but in doing so completed those local elections and allowed us to make the following analysis. Normally I do so with a commentary of my own, but given the subject matter I shall let the figures do the talking and allow other members to form their own opinions. Harry Hayfield

A little local difficulty. A forgotten part of English democracy

26/6/2018 TSE Comments 0 Comment

I’m a dutiful son and I visit my parents regularly. They live in Hadleigh, a quiet market town in south Suffolk. Hadleigh has never quite made it onto the tourist trail. This is a little odd because Kersey, a couple of miles away, is a staple of Christmas cards and meerkat adverts and Lavenham, a few miles further away, is besieged with visitors. Hadleigh has a magnificent guildhall and deanery tower and charming medieval buildings in abundance, many of which…

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TMay deserves to be congratulated for at least making a decision on LHR

26/6/2018 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

The PM’s winning streak continues By a walloping Commons majority last night, 415 votes to 119, the ongoing procrastination over the expansion of Heathrow has been resolved and at last the indecision over the airport’s future is over. That it should have taken so long for it to get to this stage says a lot about big infrastructure decision making in the UK – remember how the Channel Tunnel was opened in December 1993 but it took fifteen years before…

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Trump’s Gallup approval rating drops a net minus nine in a week

25/6/2018 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

The immigration clampdown is hurting him and possibly his party We’ve now got the first Gallup approval ratings for the period entirely after the immigration clampdown that saw children being forcibly separated from their parents. His approval number is down 4 points in a week to 41% while his disapproval jumped 5 points to 55%. This reflects the hammering he has been getting in the media and even from parts of his own family. What made this particularly challenging for…

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This Bloomberg reports on the referendum, polling and the hedge funds is a must read

25/6/2018 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

How the Betfair Brexit market moved on June 23/24 2016. Data/chart from @betdatapolitics pic.twitter.com/5c0FjJCKxv — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 25, 2018 I am assuming the ?@TheFCA? and ?@bankofengland? will be reading this impressive expose by ?@business? of what looks like market manipulation on the night the UK chose Brexit – and Sterling first rose and then slumped https://t.co/Fmv1cGdvuC — Robert Peston (@Peston) June 25, 2018 One thing the article does not cover is that there were strong rumours in the…

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The second favourite in the WH2020 betting, Kamala Harris, says she’s NOT ruling out a run for presidency

25/6/2018 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

One of the key figures in attacking Trump over his immigration policies that have led to children being taken away from their parents is Kamala Harris – Senator from California. She’s high profile and articulate and inevitably is being pressed about whether she might run for White House in 2020. Harris — the daughter of immigrants from Jamaica and India — is very much seen as a defender of immigrants. So in her appearance before the cameras, after visiting an…

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Confessions of a door to door fireplace salesman

24/6/2018 TSE Comments 0 Comment

MAIL On Sunday: “Give Me £20bn Or I’ll Bring You Down” #bbcpapers #tomorrowspaperstoday pic.twitter.com/s8dmSEroe8 — Allie Hodgkins-Brown (@AllieHBNews) June 23, 2018 The former fireplace salesman becomes another Tory making plans to oust Mrs May. Today’s Mail on Sunday reports that Defence Secretary Gavin Williamson has threatened to sweep Theresa May from power in a bitter Cabinet row over military cuts. Furious Mr Williamson warned the Prime Minister that if she did not commit an extra £20 billion to the Ministry of Defence…

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