Brexit equivocator Corbyn isn’t doing too badly with Remainers but he’s doing appallingly with leavers

Brexit equivocator Corbyn isn’t doing too badly with Remainers but he’s doing appallingly with leavers

Comments 0 Comment

TMay drops to her lowest favourability level yet I am really glad that YouGov has returned to doing favorability ratings because I believe that this is the best measure of how leaders, in particular, are being viewed. I can also take some ownership for the format because these were first initiated by the firm following suggestions from me a couple of years ago. Favorability ratings, of course, are the main measure used by American posters to test the political water….

Read More Read More

If Trump bothers to read UK polls he won’t be pleased about how negatively he’s viewed in the UK

If Trump bothers to read UK polls he won’t be pleased about how negatively he’s viewed in the UK

Comments 0 Comment

New YouGov polling on how Brits view Trump and Putin with party splits pic.twitter.com/Z9kQGlHrD2 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 12, 2018 Both him & Putin viewed with almost the same level of unfavourably The football is over bar the third place play off and over the next couple of days the visit by the US President will dominate the media To mark this YouGov have just issued latest favourability ratings with a focus on Trump and Putin. I doubt if…

Read More Read More

Across the UK political divide voters regard Theresa May as a much better leader than Donald Trump

Across the UK political divide voters regard Theresa May as a much better leader than Donald Trump

Comments 0 Comment

Comparing him with the PM There’s little enthusiasm someone like Trump as British PM To coincide with the Trump visit the latest ICM/Guardian poll has a series of findings examining the attitudes of British voters to the current incumbent at the White House. The responses to two of the questions are featured above with breakdown on party support. The top one, comparing Trump with TMay, is interesting in that generally backers of parties other than the Tories are reluctant to…

Read More Read More

LAB voters have become much less enamoured with their leader since GE2017

LAB voters have become much less enamoured with their leader since GE2017

Comments 0 Comment

The stance on antisemitism, Brexit or are other factors at play? The chart above shows the net satisfaction ratings for Jeremy Corbyn from Ipsos MORI in every published poll since the last general election. Note how this was remaining relatively solid until April this year when there was a dramatic drop which has remained. The trend refelects as well with Labours position in the national voting polls. From the general election until mid March Corbyn’s team were doing pretty well…

Read More Read More

For all the machinations of the past few days the betting is still on this Parliament running its full course

For all the machinations of the past few days the betting is still on this Parliament running its full course

Comments 0 Comment

Betdata.io It is hard to see the mechanics of an earlier election Almost inevitably whenever there are big political developments taking place people start to speculate about whether there could be an early general election. It is certainly possible that should Mrs May fail to survive then her successor as Conservative leader might want to cement his or her position with the country by going early. There is no constitutional reason at all why a new leader would have to…

Read More Read More

PB Video Analysis: UK Property – What’s It Worth?

PB Video Analysis: UK Property – What’s It Worth?

Comments 0 Comment

In my last video – Castles of Sand? – I discussed the specific drivers behind UK, and specifically London, property prices. This video is a little different. In this, I ask how properties should be valued, and how they have been valued, looking at rental yields, income multiples and other factors. I also ask whether London, as a “Global City” is simply different. Robert Smithson Robert tweets as ‘@MarketWarbles’ Follow @MarketWarbles Tweet

Punters still make a 2018 exit for TMay the favourite but the price edges down a notch

Punters still make a 2018 exit for TMay the favourite but the price edges down a notch

Comments 0 Comment

Betdata.io For the first time in several months British political betting markets have become the most actively traded on the Betfair Exchange politics section. The busiest is the market featured above on which year Theresa May will eventually step down. As can be seen it moved sharply upwards early yesterday morning when news of the David Davis resignation filtered out and since then it’s sort of holding stable though still about four percentage points down on where it was. So…

Read More Read More