Ultimately there has to be a compromise in LAB’s antisemitism row or else the party could split

Ultimately there has to be a compromise in LAB’s antisemitism row or else the party could split

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Neither side appears ready give way It is now more than four months since Labour’s anti-semitism row hit the headlines following publication of a 2012 tweet from Mr Corbyn in which he seemed to be referring approvingly to what was clearly an anti-semitic mural. That provoked the widely publicised demonstration of MPs opposed to the leadership’s handling of the situation, outside the Palace of Westminster. Since then the divide has got deeper and deeper with the NEC wanting to narrow…

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For the first time YouGov finds more supporting a second referendum than opposing

For the first time YouGov finds more supporting a second referendum than opposing

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For first-time YouGov in poll for the Times finds more voters wanting a second referendum then not pic.twitter.com/tPb5OlFUNQ — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 27, 2018 There’s a new YouGov poll in the Times which has 42% wanting a second referendum against 40% who don’t. This is significant because it is the first time that the pollster’s second referendum tracker has found this result and, undoubtedly, will increase the clamour for it to take place. The exact wording of the tracker…

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YouGov finds TMay rated about the same as Major, ahead of Blair and Brown but behind Cameron

YouGov finds TMay rated about the same as Major, ahead of Blair and Brown but behind Cameron

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Above is from some new polling just issued by YouGov in which those surveyed were asked to rate TMay against the three preceding PMs. The Blair figures shows, I’d suggest, the continuing legacy of the Iraq war. It is perhaps worth noting that he is the only one being compared who led his party to sustainable Commons majorities. In electoral terms he is also the most successful leader in his party’s history and there are no matches in modern time…

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House majority betting moves sharply to the Democrats after 3 bad midwest state polls for Trump/GOP

House majority betting moves sharply to the Democrats after 3 bad midwest state polls for Trump/GOP

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The three states, Michigan,Minnesota and Wisconsin were surveyed by NBC News/Marist polls and are,of course, in the part of the US where Trump very much exceeded expectations at WH2016. It was, of course, the mid-west where Trump won the presidency and state polling from here is going to be looked at very closely. If these do represent represent current opinion then the Republicans are going to struggle in November’s midterm elections when all seats in the House of Representatives are…

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NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast – Episode 136 Deal or no deal Brexit, support for the far-right and the death penalty and more

NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast – Episode 136 Deal or no deal Brexit, support for the far-right and the death penalty and more

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On this week’s PB / Polling Matters podcast Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi look at the levels of public support for a no-deal Brexit and how that may factor into decisions in Westminster. Also on the podcast, the duo look at polling on support for the far-right and other potential new parties by YouGov as well as public support for the death penalty in light of Sajid Javid’s decision not to seek assurances that suspected British Jihadis will not face…

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The efforts to undermine Obamacare – the soft underbelly of Trump’s electoral position

The efforts to undermine Obamacare – the soft underbelly of Trump’s electoral position

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Taking away what’s become an entitlement is politically dangerous On the first anniversary of the Senate defeat of Trump’s health care repeal,and just three months before the crucial midterm elections, a new Public Policy Polling survey finds a majority of voters want to support candidates for Congress who oppose repealing the Affordable Care Act. This was brought in under Obama in 2010 and has provided health provision for millions of Americans. By 56% to 40% those sampled said they’d support…

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Amazingly TMay makes it to the long summer recess and she’s still there

Amazingly TMay makes it to the long summer recess and she’s still there

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Betdata.io The confidence motion threat was all piss and wind from the Brexiteers Today has been a very important milestone because Parliament has risen for the summer recess and Mrs May is still Prime Minister and leader of the Conservative Party. Giving the a long time table of a Conservative leadership election it is hard to see how Mrs May can be ousted and for a successor to be in place in 2018. The chances are now that her exit…

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