Betdata.io Even if Mrs May survives as Conservative leader until after Brexit we could still be less than 9 months away from a leadership contest that would choose not just the blue team’s flag carrier but, of course, the Prime Minister. As can be seen from the chart which plots Betfair changes over the past month there is an incredible amount of movement with money going in and out of one candidate after another. I’ve long felt that the former…
SkyData poll find backing for second referendum by 10% margin pic.twitter.com/DquF6haFJc — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 30, 2018 By 52% to 35% those sampled in SkyData poll think Brexit will be bad for the economy pic.twitter.com/kDvDxCplQl — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 30, 2018 From today's SkyData poll – what would be preferred Brexit option pic.twitter.com/g0JTjFqL7J — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 30, 2018
GB vote split C38/L38/LD10 on new boundaries: CON 40 seats ahead This makes Corbyn’s task much harder One of the big political developments that could have a huge impact on the outcome of the next general election will come in the next two or three months when the final report of the Boundaries Commission comes out. Under what was agreed by Parliament seven years ago the number of MPs will be reduced from 650 to 600 and each constituency will…
I’ve just put a bet on Geriant Thomas for the 2018 Sporting Personality of the Year. I got 3/1 on Betfair. It used to be that cyclists tended to have an edge in the voting that takes place shortly before Christmas because they were better organised. Not so long ago Mark Cavendish and Bradley Wiggins picked up the title the titles in successive years. Then Chris Froome came on the scene and he struggled when it came to the voting….
Second MP under investigation in Labour party antisemitism row https://t.co/C0c3V0uiY4 — Guardian politics (@GdnPolitics) July 28, 2018 Meanwhile the latest Tweet that’s doing the rounds We’ve just been sent this post. There’s not much to say, apart from this is what antisemitism looked like in 1930’s Germany. But, it’s 2018 & from a supporter of a mainstream political party. @UKLabour #LabourAntisemitism pic.twitter.com/wjYAQHTnuM — #LabourAntisemitism (@GnasherJew) July 28, 2018 This could play out very badly After disciplinary steps were taken first…
Quite naturally, most of the focus lately has been on Mrs May’s increasingly desperate attempts to reach a deal which steers between the Scylla of EU rejection and the Charybdis of ERG revolt. She may yet succeed. If she does, however, it is clear that it will be a narrow squeeze, built on navigation by fudge, postponement of key decisions and general statements of intent to patch the timbers of the ship where water is pouring in. It is possible…
There are too many conflicting interests to simultaneously satisfy Rubik’s cubes were very much a craze when I was at primary school in the early 1980s. I had one, my friends had one and millions of people across the world had them. No-one I know ever solved one though. Sure, you could solve one side easily enough but to solve all six? Certainly it was possible – you saw people on television doing it – but we simply didn’t understand…
Alastair Meeks looks at the LAB leadership Considering how little support Jeremy Corbyn has in his Parliamentary party, it is astonishing that the subject of leadership succession never comes up any more. Part of this is about airtime: there’s so much discussion about Brexit and the travails of Theresa May that no one has the energy to look at what’s going on in the Labour party. For the moment, Jeremy Corbyn is safe from challenge. The membership have twice…