When some men want to be humiliated and embarrassed they hire dominatrices whereas Nigel Farage is considering running for London Mayor

When some men want to be humiliated and embarrassed they hire dominatrices whereas Nigel Farage is considering running for London Mayor

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Nigel Farage considers running for London mayor https://t.co/zKaSNpDIpc — FT UK Politics (@ftukpolitics) August 30, 2018 The Financial Times are reporting Nigel Farage is weighing a bid to become mayor of London, in an attempt to push the Conservative party into third place in the British capital. Mr Farage, who lives in Bromley in south London, quit as leader of the UK Independence party in July 2016, weeks after the UK voted to leave the EU. He is still a…

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How the Labour Party would split – and why it won’t

How the Labour Party would split – and why it won’t

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A summer of conspiratorial meetings amongst serial rebels has fuelled talk of a split. Picture the scene. Lord Mandleson hosts a BBQ where “up to” 20 Labour rebels look at their options for a breakaway party. Labour’s Deputy Leader Tom Watson was amongst the group, uniting the remnant Blairite and Brownite camps against Corbyn. Whether plotting to adopt the IHRA definition against the NEC, or plotting to deliberately lose to spite Corbyn (Stephen Kinnock not being very good at this),…

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Corbyn’s leader ratings have slumped sharply since the start of the year

Corbyn’s leader ratings have slumped sharply since the start of the year

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I’ve just discovered a Wikipedia page which seeks to record all the main leader ratings from the leading pollsters. The page describes itself as being confined to “approval ratings” which it doesn’t. Instead we see a range of four or five different formats. Unfortunately the page isn’t quite as comprehensive as it suggests and I have had to add to the polls covered in my version of the spreadsheet above of 2018 ratings for Mr Corbyn. The trend for the…

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After delivering Brexit TMay’s follow-on objective will be blocking Boris4PM

After delivering Brexit TMay’s follow-on objective will be blocking Boris4PM

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TMay indicates she would fight Johnson leadership bid & suggests that she wants to lead the party at the next election https://t.co/Y21ZydMSWG — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 29, 2018 The Cape Town message is that she’s not going of her own accord With Mr Corbyn apparently totally secure as Labour leader for as long as he wants the main UK political betting activity, as we get ready for the conference season, is focused on the Tories particularly on Mrs May’s…

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A big August polling development has been the restoration of TMay’s double digit “best PM” lead

A big August polling development has been the restoration of TMay’s double digit “best PM” lead

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I love tables like the one from YouGov featured above showing the trend in responses to a political tracker question. This one is on who would make the best prime minister and what seems quite striking is that Theresa May has held up pretty well apart from July when her numbers slipped following the critical response to the Chequers agreement. The big mover, of course, has been the Labour leader Mr Corbyn who has seen a fair amount of slip…

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The Brexit Irish issue: Moggsy’s plan slammed by Ex-British Army officer who served there

The Brexit Irish issue: Moggsy’s plan slammed by Ex-British Army officer who served there

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https://youtu.be/KfI9VrbFI2E The CON MP ” fundamentally misunderstands” Ireland’s history There are several interesting elements of The Moggster’s latest contribution to the Brexit debate. First, he has shown that he understands that the land border in Northern Ireland is a critical issue in the Brexit negotiations. Secondly, he has shown, by harking back to the Troubles with such breezy insouciance, that he fundamentally misunderstands the history of the island of Ireland. And thirdly, in telling us that no checks on the border…

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PB Video Analysis: Will Donald Trump be Re-Elected in 2020?

PB Video Analysis: Will Donald Trump be Re-Elected in 2020?

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KdakzE5R9n8 So, after many economics and finance related posts, I thought why not do a politics one? It’s a simple question: will President Trump be re-elected in 2020? But while the answer will – Schrodinger’s cat-like – resolve itself when the box is opened in two years time, for now the answer is unknowable. Which is the stronger force: an improving economy or the drip, drip of scandals? What matters more: who the Democrats choose or whether inflation returns? And…

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2019 now rated as a 44% chance as the year that TMay ceases to be PM

2019 now rated as a 44% chance as the year that TMay ceases to be PM

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Betdata.io Could she go all the way to 2022? This is one of those betting markets that we return to time and time again. Because clearly there cannot be a leadership contest without a vacancy and at the moment Theresa May is sticking in there and looks reasonably certain to remain until Brexit. I find it somewhat amusing when I get correspondence from bookmakers and Boris backer, Arron Banks, alerting me to a leadership fight within the next 3 months….

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