politicalbetting.com – Page 779 – The web's premier resource for political betting.

Et tu, John? Is another JC set to get stabbed in the back by a close ally?

17/9/2018 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Well this is very interesting. 'Allies of McDonnell claim he has become increasingly frustrated with Corbyn and his team over their botched handling of the anti-semitism row this summer, which overshadowed a carefully planned grid of policy announcements'. https://t.co/WlZKpJoRxK pic.twitter.com/wyCug9xTV6 — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 16, 2018 The truly great, such as Caesar & Thatcher, are removed from power by their allies stabbing them in the back, is Corbyn about to join that club? The Sunday Times reports While those who…

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With just over six months to go until Brexit day YouGov looks where the public stands

16/9/2018 TSE Comments 0 Comment

1/ Public opinion has drifted slightly against Brexit. On average this year there has been a 3 point lead of those who think Britain was wrong to vote for Brexit over those who think Britain was right to do so https://t.co/3SXfJa1bAf pic.twitter.com/yaBm2gLrEP — YouGov (@YouGov) September 12, 2018 2/ While Theresa May comes in for constant criticism over the Brexit negotiations, few Brits (22-27%) actually think that a different leader would have done any better https://t.co/3SXfJa1bAf pic.twitter.com/RbjRgKG31O — YouGov (@YouGov)…

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Betting on Labour’s GB wide share of the vote at the next general election

16/9/2018 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Ladbrokes have a market up on Labour’s GB wide share of the vote at the next election and this is a market I’m going to avoid for the time being for the following known unknowns I’m not sure when the next general election is, I can see the next general election happening anywhere from this autumn to May 2022. You can see how the Brexit negotiations and votes therein can lead to an early election. I’m fairly certain the Tories…

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If you think Beto O’Rourke is going to win Texas in November then these might make for good bets

15/9/2018 TSE Comments 0 Comment

The Dems winning Texas in a Presidential election changes the electoral maths. In recent times Texas has been a safe banker for the GOP but demographics are trending back to the Dems, so what might help tip the balance is if the Dems choose a native son or daughter to be their nominee. If you think Beto O’Rourke is going to win his Senate battle this autumn then looking at him being a future Presidential nominee seems logical. Tying up…

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There will be no second referendum whether Labour backs it or not

15/9/2018 David Herdson Comments 0 Comment

Indeed, Labour best hope is to push for one – but to fail Brexit is not unlike Hurricane Florence. A huge amount of energy is being expended, mostly to destructive effect, dumping a load of output which is flooding out a great deal else, while not going anywhere fast. And just as Florence attracts storm-chasers, Brexit attracts any number of other eccentrics, on all sides, either to participate in the main thing or to chase rainbows. One such rainbow is…

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The Daily Mail’s change of tone Brexit should help Mrs May sell her Brexit deal

14/9/2018 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Something feels different about the headlines in today's Daily Mail pic.twitter.com/LCFgwnOrlu — Jack Blanchard (@Jack_Blanchard_) September 12, 2018 At this rate the Daily Mail will soon be backing another referendum. Daily Mail backs May's Brexit plan and brands rebel Tories 'traitors'Editorial laments plotting by Brexiter Conservatives against PM as apparent ‘death wish’. https://t.co/95z3ppHkOZ pic.twitter.com/3RUPaZupRB — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 13, 2018 Welcome to this Bizarro world where in the eyes of the Daily Mail traitors are the hard Brexiteers. The tweets…

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Richard Nabavi on the US Senate elections

14/9/2018 Editor Comments 0 Comment

On the 6th November, 33 of the 100 seats in the US Senate come up for election. The Democrats currently hold 47 seats and two independents caucus with them, so they need a net gain of two for them to get control1. Unfortunately for the Democrats, the starting position is rather difficult; of the 35 seats up for election, only 9 are Republican-held, and of those 4 are solid and 3 are fairly safe. On the other side, of the…

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NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast: Who are the centrists and who do they think they are?

13/9/2018 TSE Comments 0 Comment

On the latest episode of the PB / Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi discuss some recent polling by Opinium that looks at where Brits place themselves of the left-right political scale, who classes themselves as ‘centrist’ and what they think it means. Follow this week’s podcasters: Follow @KeiranPedley Follow @LeoBarasi Tweet