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NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast: Poll trends that will shape the future…education, Brexit and the politically homeless with Paula Surridge

25/9/2018 TSE Comments 0 Comment

On this week’s PB / Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley is joined by Paula Surridge (Senior Lecturer in Political Sociology at the University of Bristol). Keiran and Paula discuss the big trends shaping British politics, such as age, social class and education and the impact they could have on British politics in the future. Paula gives her view on whether Labour would benefit from explicitly campaigning for a second referendum on Brexit and whether there is appetite for a new…

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How the Labour conference reacted when Sir Keir Starmer said Remain should be an option in any public vote

25/9/2018 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

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PB Video Analysis: The Changing Nature of Work

25/9/2018 robert Comments 0 Comment

In the old days, careers would be long, mortgages cheap and job titles easy to understand. But the nature of working is changing. Our grandparents would struggle to understand what we do… YouTuber, anyone? Income inequality has risen. Job security has disappeared. Is this the result of rapacious capitalists? Is it because of globalist politicians and George Soros? Or are there fundamental forces at work: do the people who employ us just know too much about our economic output? Computers,…

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Trump’s Supreme Court nominee, Brett Kavanaugh, faces a second accuser

24/9/2018 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

By far the biggest political battle in US politics at the moment is the effort by the Republicans to ensure that Trump’s nominee for the Supreme Court vacancy, Brett Kavanaugh, gets approved. Because of the power of the court and the fact that members are appointed for life this has the potential of having an impact in the US that could last decades. The Democrats are doing everything to try to stall the process while the White House is pushing…

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More evidence that Corbyn is not now getting anything like the personal backing from GE2017 LAB voters than he was

24/9/2018 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

An average of 51% of 2017 Labour voters now pick Corbyn as the best choice for PM, compared to May and 'Not Sure', down from an average of 77% across the summer of 2017. In comparison, Con / May vote holding up surprisingly well, averaging 75%, down from 87% last summer. pic.twitter.com/507Rw7UHql — Statto (@james_bowley) September 24, 2018 PB regulars will know that I am a great fan of leader ratings and believe that they are a better pointer to…

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If the current CON leadership rules had been in place in November 1990 Maggie would probably have survived

24/9/2018 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

November 1990 – Mrs. T leaves Number 10 A CON leader’s position is now much more secure than it was in 1990 One of the things that’s driving me crazy at the moment is the sheer level of of ignorance from parts of the media and even some MPs about how CON leaders can be ousted and the consequencial process for choosing a successor. So many are familiar with the downfall of Maggie in November 1990 that they are convinced…

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With or without EU, will anybody follow Le Royaume-Uni’s lead?

23/9/2018 TSE Comments 0 Comment

This market on which countries will leave the EU by the end of 2025 from Paddy Power on first inspection seems like an excellent way to contribute to the Paddy Power bonus fund. In terms of disasters for the United Kingdom a no deal Brexit is to picture the Hindenburg meets Chernobyl meets the fall of Singapore meets Solo: A Star Wars Story. I’m not sure any country will be in a hurry to repeat Brexit, particularly those countries in…

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Six Impossible Things Before Brexit

23/9/2018 TSE Comments 0 Comment

With six months to go, the ultimate denouement of Brexit looks as murky as ever. That hasn’t stopped plenty of people trying to peer through the vapours. If you are going to speculate, go right ahead, but it’s probably best not base your speculations on things that are downright wrong. So let’s take a stroll past some of the more common misconceptions. 1) If Britain proposes something different (whether a recantation or a hardening of stance), the EU won’t necessarily…

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