Boris Johnson – The False Favourite for the Tory leadership

Boris Johnson – The False Favourite for the Tory leadership

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Right now British politics and British political betting is consumed by the race for next Conservative leader and next Prime Minister. Conventional wisdom on both is that Boris Johnson is the man to beat. He has traded below evens on Betfair for the roles and after an initial rush of excitement, he has settled down in both next Conservative leader and next Prime Minister markets at about 5/2 at the time of writing. Certainly there is evidence to back up…

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In the TMay successor betting Gove replaces Raab as second favourite – Johnson still clear favourite

In the TMay successor betting Gove replaces Raab as second favourite – Johnson still clear favourite

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There have now been two working days since TMay announced her exit programme and there has been quite a lot of movement on the Betfair exchange where £0.75m has been gambled in the past week. The big change as can be seen in the chart is the growing support for Michael Gove who has replaced Raab as second favourite. All sort of new betting mark with 12 CON MPs now having declared themselves as runners. Unless there is any whittling…

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Let’s put an end to this rubbish thinking about LAB being vulnerable in its Leave Westminster seats

Let’s put an end to this rubbish thinking about LAB being vulnerable in its Leave Westminster seats

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“There is some chatter in the Labour groups about the party adopting a radical Revoke and Reform policy at a September General Election. Not the usual suspects, this comes from Corbyn supporters. In which case Labour better prepare for annihilation by the Brexit Party in its Leave seats in the North and Midlands and Wales even if they hold onto London and other big cities and university towns” The majority of its GE2017 gains from CON were in seats that…

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The Campbell expulsion from LAB – the ramifications continue

The Campbell expulsion from LAB – the ramifications continue

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I’ve witnessed Kate Hoey share a stage with Nigel Farage, in front of an image mocking Jeremy Corbyn.Accross the street on another stage was Tommeh Robnson.Kate Hoey is still a labour member.Alastair Campbell has been expelled today. — ali (@ali__samson) May 28, 2019 I bet several Labour MPs quietly voted Lib Dem too, just as many Conservative MPs voted for the Brexit Party last Thursday. https://t.co/ju2nU78z2F — Michael Crick (@MichaelLCrick) May 28, 2019 In what isn’t coincidental timing, Alastair Campbell…

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Alastair Campbell purged from Corbyn’s LAB for backing the LDs in last week’s election

Alastair Campbell purged from Corbyn’s LAB for backing the LDs in last week’s election

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Well this is all going a bit East Germany ca 1953 … Labour expels Alastair Campbell from party https://t.co/q35cU1ysVr — anne mcelvoy (@annemcelvoy) May 28, 2019 I suspect if they knew all the members who voted LibDem or Green in EU elections and expelled them there would be few of us left https://t.co/AAeaJ8YjDL — George Foulkes (@GeorgeFoulkes) May 28, 2019 Remember Corbyn taking pleasure at Labour's defeat in the 2012 Bradford by-election pic.twitter.com/yKMOZKvf9M — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 28, 2019…

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And so to next week’s Peterborough by-election

And so to next week’s Peterborough by-election

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Ordnance Survey Peterborough (East of England) result: Brex: 38.3% (+38.3)Lab: 17.2% (-7.9)LDem: 15.4% (+10.9)Con: 10.9% (-14.7)Grn: 10.8% (+5.1)UKIP: 3.6% (-29.9) — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) May 26, 2019 TBP’s first Westminster seat? When earlier in the year Peterborough’s former MP was jailed over a speeding points issue a recall petition was initiated which ended with her losing her seat. The campaign to secure the requisite 10% of voters was backed by both the Tories and LAB and the total required was…

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At last “deal of no deal” looks to take centre stage in the CON leadership contest

At last “deal of no deal” looks to take centre stage in the CON leadership contest

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Jeremy Hunt comes out against no deal Brexit in tomorrow's Tgraph: 'Trying to deliver no deal through a general election is not a solution. It is political suicide, that would delight Nigel Farage and probably put Jeremy Corbyn in No 10 by Christmas.' https://t.co/JLGNmZUkVA — Katy Balls (@katyballs) May 27, 2019 Hunt’s move could put BoJo on the spot The Telegraph is reporting what could prove to be a big move in the race to become TMay’s successor – he’s…

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The first consequence of the Euros – LAB appears to be edging closer to a second referendum

The first consequence of the Euros – LAB appears to be edging closer to a second referendum

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Corbyn's team said the John McDonnell tweet this morning demanding public vote meant "both a general election, which is our preference, or a referendum" But McDonnell has just appeared on Sky saying a referendum is "inevitable" because Tory MPs won't back a general election… — Jim Pickard ? (@PickardJE) May 27, 2019 Here’s the latest on Labour’s #brexit policy https://t.co/9cUcw5K9AP — Vicki Young (@BBCVickiYoung) May 27, 2019 It was inevitable after their drubbing in the Euro elections that LAB was…

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