This seems like a good way to get a 20% return in around a month or so

This seems like a good way to get a 20% return in around a month or so

Given what is stake and the egos involved I cannot see the candidates not taking this contest to the members so that’s why I’m backing the 1/5 Paddy Power are offering. After Leavers conspired to hand the crown to Mrs May in 2016 and bypassing the members there’ll be a desire for the members to take part, as a Tory member there’s a real desire amongst my fellow members to have the final say, something that I’d expect to be…

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Michael Gove – the case against

Michael Gove – the case against

From a PBer teacher who remembers when Gove was EdSec Michael Gove has many admirers – most notably, several on this forum, including a former Labour MP and a number of Conservative and UKIP voters. He is an experienced minister, having held office for nine years (one of them outside the cabinet). He is able, articulate, polite, and from a very modest background. He is well connected in the media, has a remarkable imagination and drive, and stands out, frankly,…

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Andy Warhol was wrong, in the future everyone will stand to be Tory leader

Andy Warhol was wrong, in the future everyone will stand to be Tory leader

I am running to be Conservative Party leader and Prime Minister – go to https://t.co/MShWaI9qmR to join the journey of national renewal. #BackSamsPlan pic.twitter.com/7mVkytZAm6 — Sam Gyimah (@SamGyimah) June 2, 2019 Sam Gyimah might end up feeling like a bacon eater in a vegan restaurant if he thinks backing a people’s vote will help him in the Tory leadership contest. https://t.co/PqYLtPRdDV — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 2, 2019 But like Rory Stewart I think Sam Gyimah might be focussing on winning…

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The three post Euros polls have had three different parties in the lead

The three post Euros polls have had three different parties in the lead

In the past couple of days there have been three Westminster voting intention polls from different firms each with a different party in the lead. This is unprecedented. Here's Deltapoll https://t.co/nsMGtujNI8 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 2, 2019 Opinium has BXP ahead with the LDs in 4th. In its final Euros poll Opinium had the highest rating of any firm for BXP – 38% against the 31% that they actually got. It had the LDs on 15% 5 below the…

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The Saturday evening open thread

The Saturday evening open thread

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZHbVVGPFvio Video – The highlights of the greatest comeback since Lazarus Tonight’s Champions League final and Mike’s holiday means PB isn’t going to edited in the usual way this weekend, so it’ll feature open threads like this and threads written well in advance. So if any major does happen this weekend, I’m not ignoring I’ll eventually cover it. If we get any polls this weekend it’ll be interesting to see if they match the pattern of YouGov with the Lib…

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The Tory race is crowded but there is value there

The Tory race is crowded but there is value there

Even after the recent lengthening of his odds, Boris is still over-fancied When a dozen candidates declare their candidacy for a party leadership, it’s not a sign of strength. Certainly, it’s entirely possible to go too far the other way and allow a flawed but dominant candidate in by default, but an excess of candidates points to a lack of confidence in the leading runners among the second string. There are, of course, other reasons why also-rans might give the…

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Paging all Brexiteers who hate American Presidents interfering in UK politics

Paging all Brexiteers who hate American Presidents interfering in UK politics

World exclusive: Trump backs Boris to be Britain’s next PM with highly controversial intervention into Tory contest. "I know the different players. But I think Boris would do a very good job. He would be excellent”.https://t.co/Qt0zjwwePJ — Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn) May 31, 2019 I’m not sure being Donald Trump’s preferred choice as Prime Minister will ultimately help Boris Johnson. TSE

Corbyn, May and the death of British compromise

Corbyn, May and the death of British compromise

We like to think of ourselves as a temperamentally moderate country, eager to split any difference, respect other viewpoints, find the middle ground. But the sobering lesson from the European election is that – on this issue, at least, we really are not. There are basically three options open to us. We can opt for a hard Brexit. That got 34.0% of the vote (Brexit+UKIP). We can opt to stay in the EU after all. That got 34.9% of the…

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