Reflections – Part One

Reflections – Part One

Sometimes, it’s apparently minor decisions in politics which can annoy the most.  Here is my list. 1. Lords and Ladies Peerages for Nicky Morgan and Zac Goldsmith but not Ken Clarke. Eh? There are many arguments for having a different second chamber to the current House of Lords but surely, while it exists, those joining it should be politicians with experience and knowledge to contribute. Whether you agree with Clarke’s EU views, he has – since the referendum – played…

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In Scotland all the polls in the entire 2017-2019 parliament understated the SNP

In Scotland all the polls in the entire 2017-2019 parliament understated the SNP

The SNP’s 45% of the Scottish vote gave the party 81% of the Scottish seats One of the features of this month’s general election that hasn’t received much attention is how successful the SNP were in the 59 Scottish sets. For the third general election is succession it was this part of the UK that saw the most change in terms of seats  with on December 12th 15 of the 59 constituencies ending up in different hands. This always looked…

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Server Upgraded!

Server Upgraded!

Now with shiny https! Hopefully no problems. But if you do see problems, please send me an email at my gmail, and I’ll look into them. Thanks, rcs1000

Sorry!

Sorry!

About all the site problems. I did a server upgrade, and Vanilla refused to play nicely with the new server. So I rolled it back… and Vanilla refused to play nicely with the old server either. 🙁 You can access the comments here. I’m communicating with Vanilla, and I’m sure we’ll get it sorted soon. Thanks, Robert

Occasionally 52% of voters have impeccable judgment, here’s the proof

Occasionally 52% of voters have impeccable judgment, here’s the proof

Turns out 52% of the country are wise. https://t.co/Ais2UKHVqr — TSE (@TSEofPB) December 23, 2019 52% of voters are correct is not a sentence I expected to write but here we are. This finding isn’t a surprise, after all the star of the film, Bruce Willis, has himself said Die Hard is definitely not a Christmas film, after all film released in July 1988 can hardly be categorised as a Christmas film can it? TSE

Tory and SNP landslides – Blair’s lasting legacy?

Tory and SNP landslides – Blair’s lasting legacy?

  In 1997 Labour swept to a landslide victory sweeping all parts of Britain. In Scotland winning 45.6% of the vote and 77.8% of the seats. In England winning 43.5% of the votes and 62.0% of the seats. One of Blair’s first and most consequential acts was to bring in devolution to Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland but left English laws controlled by Parliament with no answer to the West Lothian Question. Supposedly a decision that was intended to “kill…

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A reminder of the last July’s YouGov LAB members’ polling on the leadership

A reminder of the last July’s YouGov LAB members’ polling on the leadership

We have not had a poll of LAB members since last July so the YouGov chart above is based on the latest data available. Since then, of course, three of those senior party figures tested by the firm are no longer possible runners. Tom Watson has quit being an MP, Laura Pidcock lost her seat at on December 12th while John McDonnell has made his intentions clear. Note that in the polling each potential leader was tested separately but it…

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What sort of fool would have predicted the politics of 2020 in 2010? Me.

What sort of fool would have predicted the politics of 2020 in 2010? Me.

Andy Welsh Flickr Time for the reckoning on my long-term calls At the start of the decade, I asked what politics in the UK would look like ten years hence. That time has now arrived, so let’s look at how I did and, beyond that, how anyone could have done. Predicting a few weeks ahead can be a hazardous business; predicting a decade into the future would be foolhardy in the extreme which is probably why observant readers will notice…

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