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No, don’t look to a non-Trump/Biden winner

2/5/2020 David Herdson Comments 732 Comments

Biden in particular is great odds against ludicrously short Dem alternatives Unusual things happen. Fringe scenarios occur and outsiders find ways to win races they aren’t even in. Even so, for both Donald Trump and Joe Biden to be odds against to win the 2020 US presidential election when both are their party’s nominee-elect is pretty extraordinary. True, Trump is only just odds-against on the Betfair exchange, at 2.08 to back but Biden is right out at 2.42 at the…

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And to take you gently into the weekend (remember those?) the PB NightHawks Cafe

1/5/2020 Mike Smithson Comments 204 Comments

The lockdown continues with no real idea when this is going to come to an end. So while it remains the PB Nighthawks cafe will continue – a place to interact without worrying about physical differences.

The armed, Trump-backed, lockdown protestors who are helping build the profile of possible Biden VP pick, Gretchen Whitmer

1/5/2020 Mike Smithson Comments 690 Comments

The efforts to combat COVID-19 have divided America and overnight saw extraordinary scenes when hundreds of protesters, many of them armed, burst into Michigan’s state capitol to object to plans to extend the state of emergency in the state. The State’s Democratic governor, Gretchen Whitmer, has incurred the wrath of Trump for not being appreciative enough of his efforts. The idea that anybody armed to the hilt could enter a parliament building while it was in session is quite extraordinary…

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Thinking the Unthinkable – how’s this going to be paid for?

1/5/2020 CycleFree Comments 806 Comments

We cannot go back to how we were This is the reaction of many to the pandemic, now stalking many lands. Globalisation – at least as enjoyed over the last few decades – is over, a reset of relations with China, a change to the state’s role to the chagrin of those wanting a small state, low taxes, free markets, borders will not be as open as before etc.,. Well, some or all of this is probably true. Big events…

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COVID-19: With Boris back some of this afternoon’s developments

30/4/2020 Mike Smithson Comments 412 Comments

New COVID19 polling finds two thirds of Brits saying that the government acted too late

30/4/2020 Mike Smithson Comments 599 Comments

But fewer are concerned about the individual threat Whenever this is all over, and who can predict that, it is clear that the events of the past three months and the actions of ministers are set to have a big impact on domestic politics. Pollster Ipsos-MORI has been asking tracker questions and we can see from the two charts above how things have moved. The worrying one for Team Boris is the growing percentage who think that action was taken…

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What’s the effect being two metres is having on us all?

30/4/2020 Mike Smithson Comments 508 Comments

Social distancing – the price There were some interesting posts on the overnight thread which perhaps should be given a wider audience. This from Cyclefree is one of the best and is on the impact of the the metres apart regime that all of us are having to handle. No hugs, no kissing. No intimacy. No quiet conversations or simply being close to someone. No choirs, no theatres, no concerts or gigs, no dancing, no visits to the cinema. No…

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Another evening and another PB NightHawks cafe

29/4/2020 Mike Smithson Comments 170 Comments

A strange day with differing developments. The thing that sriked me as most important has been what has happened in Germany – the European country that seemed to be doing best. I get a sense of greater restlessness.